With only two days left until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus at 99% for "No" reflects the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakdowns severe enough to prompt a country to declare a U.S. ambassador persona non grata and expel them—a rare step typically reserved for espionage accusations, sanctions violations, or major policy rifts. Recent tensions, such as South African political calls in mid-March to remove new U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III over his remarks on a domestic court ruling, prompted a formal summons and apology but no expulsion action from Pretoria. No other nations have signaled escalatory moves amid ongoing foreign policy frictions in regions like the Middle East or Africa. Late-breaking scandals, military incidents, or abrupt official statements could still shift outcomes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$99,323 Объем
$99,323 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$99,323 Объем
$99,323 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
With only two days left until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus at 99% for "No" reflects the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakdowns severe enough to prompt a country to declare a U.S. ambassador persona non grata and expel them—a rare step typically reserved for espionage accusations, sanctions violations, or major policy rifts. Recent tensions, such as South African political calls in mid-March to remove new U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III over his remarks on a domestic court ruling, prompted a formal summons and apology but no expulsion action from Pretoria. No other nations have signaled escalatory moves amid ongoing foreign policy frictions in regions like the Middle East or Africa. Late-breaking scandals, military incidents, or abrupt official statements could still shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 11:21 PM ET
Объем
$99,323Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 11:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
With only two days left until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus at 99% for "No" reflects the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakdowns severe enough to prompt a country to declare a U.S. ambassador persona non grata and expel them—a rare step typically reserved for espionage accusations, sanctions violations, or major policy rifts. Recent tensions, such as South African political calls in mid-March to remove new U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III over his remarks on a domestic court ruling, prompted a formal summons and apology but no expulsion action from Pretoria. No other nations have signaled escalatory moves amid ongoing foreign policy frictions in regions like the Middle East or Africa. Late-breaking scandals, military incidents, or abrupt official statements could still shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$99,323Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 11:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With only two days left until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus at 99% for "No" reflects the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakdowns severe enough to prompt a country to declare a U.S. ambassador persona non grata and expel them—a rare step typically reserved for espionage accusations, sanctions violations, or major policy rifts. Recent tensions, such as South African political calls in mid-March to remove new U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III over his remarks on a domestic court ruling, prompted a formal summons and apology but no expulsion action from Pretoria. No other nations have signaled escalatory moves amid ongoing foreign policy frictions in regions like the Middle East or Africa. Late-breaking scandals, military incidents, or abrupt official statements could still shift outcomes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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