Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador from Israel—amid escalating rifts over Gaza operations and reported Israeli actions against Iran—heightened diplomatic strains but fell short of expelling Israel's envoy, maintaining trader confidence in "No." Joint statements from the UK, France, Germany, and Italy on March 29 condemning Israel's death penalty bill, alongside EU criticism of Holy Sites access restrictions during Palm Sunday, fueled calls for tougher measures yet prompted no persona non grata declarations by March 31 deadline. With the date passed absent any verified expulsions, near-unanimous market pricing reflects Europe's historical aversion to such ruptures given NATO ties, trade links, and alliance dynamics, barring potential post-deadline revelations or administrative delays in resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБудет ли какая-либо европейская страна высылать израильского посла до 31 марта?
Будет ли какая-либо европейская страна высылать израильского посла до 31 марта?
Да
$190,985 Объем
$190,985 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
Да
$190,985 Объем
$190,985 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned European country by the respective government between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a European country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador from Israel—amid escalating rifts over Gaza operations and reported Israeli actions against Iran—heightened diplomatic strains but fell short of expelling Israel's envoy, maintaining trader confidence in "No." Joint statements from the UK, France, Germany, and Italy on March 29 condemning Israel's death penalty bill, alongside EU criticism of Holy Sites access restrictions during Palm Sunday, fueled calls for tougher measures yet prompted no persona non grata declarations by March 31 deadline. With the date passed absent any verified expulsions, near-unanimous market pricing reflects Europe's historical aversion to such ruptures given NATO ties, trade links, and alliance dynamics, barring potential post-deadline revelations or administrative delays in resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned European country by the respective government between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a European country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a European country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 11:24 PM ET
Объем
$190,985Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 11:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned European country by the respective government between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a European country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador from Israel—amid escalating rifts over Gaza operations and reported Israeli actions against Iran—heightened diplomatic strains but fell short of expelling Israel's envoy, maintaining trader confidence in "No." Joint statements from the UK, France, Germany, and Italy on March 29 condemning Israel's death penalty bill, alongside EU criticism of Holy Sites access restrictions during Palm Sunday, fueled calls for tougher measures yet prompted no persona non grata declarations by March 31 deadline. With the date passed absent any verified expulsions, near-unanimous market pricing reflects Europe's historical aversion to such ruptures given NATO ties, trade links, and alliance dynamics, barring potential post-deadline revelations or administrative delays in resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned European country by the respective government between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a European country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a European country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$190,985Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 11:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador from Israel—amid escalating rifts over Gaza operations and reported Israeli actions against Iran—heightened diplomatic strains but fell short of expelling Israel's envoy, maintaining trader confidence in "No." Joint statements from the UK, France, Germany, and Italy on March 29 condemning Israel's death penalty bill, alongside EU criticism of Holy Sites access restrictions during Palm Sunday, fueled calls for tougher measures yet prompted no persona non grata declarations by March 31 deadline. With the date passed absent any verified expulsions, near-unanimous market pricing reflects Europe's historical aversion to such ruptures given NATO ties, trade links, and alliance dynamics, barring potential post-deadline revelations or administrative delays in resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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