Norwegian police arrests of three Iraqi-origin brothers and their mother on terrorist bombing charges following the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo have solidified trader consensus at 98% against a US accusation of Iranian involvement, as no public evidence links Tehran despite initial probes into possible foreign state actors. Amid broader US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and embassy alerts, the suspects—Norwegian citizens not previously known to authorities—point to localized actors, with three weeks elapsed since the incident without State Department or White House attribution to Iran. Realistic shifts could arise from interrogations uncovering Iranian proxy direction or new intelligence, though such developments remain unconfirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоОбвинят ли США Иран в нападении на посольство в Осло?
Обвинят ли США Иран в нападении на посольство в Осло?
Да
$427,531 Объем
$427,531 Объем
Да
$427,531 Объем
$427,531 Объем
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government. Norwegian police arrests of three Iraqi-origin brothers and their mother on terrorist bombing charges following the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo have solidified trader consensus at 98% against a US accusation of Iranian involvement, as no public evidence links Tehran despite initial probes into possible foreign state actors. Amid broader US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and embassy alerts, the suspects—Norwegian citizens not previously known to authorities—point to localized actors, with three weeks elapsed since the incident without State Department or White House attribution to Iran. Realistic shifts could arise from interrogations uncovering Iranian proxy direction or new intelligence, though such developments remain unconfirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Открытие рынка: Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ET
Объем
$427,531Открытие рынка
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government. Norwegian police arrests of three Iraqi-origin brothers and their mother on terrorist bombing charges following the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo have solidified trader consensus at 98% against a US accusation of Iranian involvement, as no public evidence links Tehran despite initial probes into possible foreign state actors. Amid broader US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and embassy alerts, the suspects—Norwegian citizens not previously known to authorities—point to localized actors, with three weeks elapsed since the incident without State Department or White House attribution to Iran. Realistic shifts could arise from interrogations uncovering Iranian proxy direction or new intelligence, though such developments remain unconfirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Объем
$427,531Открытие рынка
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Norwegian police arrests of three Iraqi-origin brothers and their mother on terrorist bombing charges following the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo have solidified trader consensus at 98% against a US accusation of Iranian involvement, as no public evidence links Tehran despite initial probes into possible foreign state actors. Amid broader US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and embassy alerts, the suspects—Norwegian citizens not previously known to authorities—point to localized actors, with three weeks elapsed since the incident without State Department or White House attribution to Iran. Realistic shifts could arise from interrogations uncovering Iranian proxy direction or new intelligence, though such developments remain unconfirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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