Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 to succeed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. He has issued no public appearances or verified statements since, with written messages attributed to him focusing on the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf security, and defiance toward U.S. bases. U.S. intelligence reports describe him as sequestered in an undisclosed location with minimal external contact, relying on couriers even for internal coordination, which has slowed diplomatic efforts. Older contingency plans for senior figures to exit amid unrest predate these events, but current trader focus centers on whether security threats, health factors, or regime dynamics could prompt departure before key resolution dates amid the active conflict.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,657,669 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
31 мая
<1%
30 июня
2%
$1,657,669 Объем
31 мая
$436,787 Объем
<1%
30 июня
$249,272 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 to succeed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. He has issued no public appearances or verified statements since, with written messages attributed to him focusing on the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf security, and defiance toward U.S. bases. U.S. intelligence reports describe him as sequestered in an undisclosed location with minimal external contact, relying on couriers even for internal coordination, which has slowed diplomatic efforts. Older contingency plans for senior figures to exit amid unrest predate these events, but current trader focus centers on whether security threats, health factors, or regime dynamics could prompt departure before key resolution dates amid the active conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Объем
$1,657,669Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 to succeed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. He has issued no public appearances or verified statements since, with written messages attributed to him focusing on the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf security, and defiance toward U.S. bases. U.S. intelligence reports describe him as sequestered in an undisclosed location with minimal external contact, relying on couriers even for internal coordination, which has slowed diplomatic efforts. Older contingency plans for senior figures to exit amid unrest predate these events, but current trader focus centers on whether security threats, health factors, or regime dynamics could prompt departure before key resolution dates amid the active conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,657,669Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 to succeed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. He has issued no public appearances or verified statements since, with written messages attributed to him focusing on the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf security, and defiance toward U.S. bases. U.S. intelligence reports describe him as sequestered in an undisclosed location with minimal external contact, relying on couriers even for internal coordination, which has slowed diplomatic efforts. Older contingency plans for senior figures to exit amid unrest predate these events, but current trader focus centers on whether security threats, health factors, or regime dynamics could prompt departure before key resolution dates amid the active conflict.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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