Mojtaba Khamenei, newly appointed Supreme Leader following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28, has not made a public appearance for over a month, prompting rumors of injury, medical evacuation to Russia, or exile amid escalating regional conflict. A leaked audio suggested he escaped the fatal strike by seconds, while attributed messages vow continued military actions like blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Russia confirmed today that he remains in Iran but avoids public view for security reasons, countering speculation. Traders monitor for a potential address or further airstrikes that could force relocation, with succession stability hinging on his visibility during ongoing hostilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$755,144 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
March 31
<1%
April 30
3%
31 мая
3%
30 июня
10%
$755,144 Объем
March 31
$657,093 Объем
<1%
April 30
$95,150 Объем
3%
31 мая
$1,282 Объем
3%
30 июня
$1,620 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, newly appointed Supreme Leader following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28, has not made a public appearance for over a month, prompting rumors of injury, medical evacuation to Russia, or exile amid escalating regional conflict. A leaked audio suggested he escaped the fatal strike by seconds, while attributed messages vow continued military actions like blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Russia confirmed today that he remains in Iran but avoids public view for security reasons, countering speculation. Traders monitor for a potential address or further airstrikes that could force relocation, with succession stability hinging on his visibility during ongoing hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Объем
$755,144Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, newly appointed Supreme Leader following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28, has not made a public appearance for over a month, prompting rumors of injury, medical evacuation to Russia, or exile amid escalating regional conflict. A leaked audio suggested he escaped the fatal strike by seconds, while attributed messages vow continued military actions like blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Russia confirmed today that he remains in Iran but avoids public view for security reasons, countering speculation. Traders monitor for a potential address or further airstrikes that could force relocation, with succession stability hinging on his visibility during ongoing hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$755,144Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, newly appointed Supreme Leader following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28, has not made a public appearance for over a month, prompting rumors of injury, medical evacuation to Russia, or exile amid escalating regional conflict. A leaked audio suggested he escaped the fatal strike by seconds, while attributed messages vow continued military actions like blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Russia confirmed today that he remains in Iran but avoids public view for security reasons, countering speculation. Traders monitor for a potential address or further airstrikes that could force relocation, with succession stability hinging on his visibility during ongoing hostilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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