Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has remained inside Iran, issuing statements through official channels while reportedly operating from undisclosed secure locations with limited direct access, consistent with heightened security measures for senior officials during active conflict. U.S. assessments describe him managing negotiations and domestic affairs from within fortified sites, with no verified reports of international travel or departure. Upcoming events such as the late leader's funeral ceremonies in July could influence visibility or movements, but current conditions and his institutional role keep trader-implied probabilities of any exit by late June extremely low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,055,665 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня
2%
$2,055,665 Объем
30 июня
$645,434 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has remained inside Iran, issuing statements through official channels while reportedly operating from undisclosed secure locations with limited direct access, consistent with heightened security measures for senior officials during active conflict. U.S. assessments describe him managing negotiations and domestic affairs from within fortified sites, with no verified reports of international travel or departure. Upcoming events such as the late leader's funeral ceremonies in July could influence visibility or movements, but current conditions and his institutional role keep trader-implied probabilities of any exit by late June extremely low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$2,055,665Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has remained inside Iran, issuing statements through official channels while reportedly operating from undisclosed secure locations with limited direct access, consistent with heightened security measures for senior officials during active conflict. U.S. assessments describe him managing negotiations and domestic affairs from within fortified sites, with no verified reports of international travel or departure. Upcoming events such as the late leader's funeral ceremonies in July could influence visibility or movements, but current conditions and his institutional role keep trader-implied probabilities of any exit by late June extremely low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,055,665Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has remained inside Iran, issuing statements through official channels while reportedly operating from undisclosed secure locations with limited direct access, consistent with heightened security measures for senior officials during active conflict. U.S. assessments describe him managing negotiations and domestic affairs from within fortified sites, with no verified reports of international travel or departure. Upcoming events such as the late leader's funeral ceremonies in July could influence visibility or movements, but current conditions and his institutional role keep trader-implied probabilities of any exit by late June extremely low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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