Following the US-Israeli strike killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on March 1, Iran swiftly elevated his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor on March 9, defying President Trump's public disapproval and claims that the younger Khamenei was unwanted even by his father. Trump has since touted indirect diplomatic contacts from Tehran seeking talks to end the Middle East conflict, insisting Iran "get serious soon" while repeatedly questioning Mojtaba's health—alleging as recently as March 30 that he is dead, wounded, or incapacitated, with "no one heard from him." No verified direct communication between Trump and Mojtaba has occurred, amid ongoing airstrikes and Trump's forecast of operations wrapping in 2-3 weeks, potentially opening broader negotiations. Traders weigh these regime succession tensions and unconfirmed backchannels against the market's resolution criteria for verifiable talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПоговорит ли Трамп с Мойтабой Хаменеи...?
Поговорит ли Трамп с Мойтабой Хаменеи...?
$269,450 Объем
31 марта
<1%
30 апреля
4%
30 июня
9%
$269,450 Объем
31 марта
<1%
30 апреля
4%
30 июня
9%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 10, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following the US-Israeli strike killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on March 1, Iran swiftly elevated his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor on March 9, defying President Trump's public disapproval and claims that the younger Khamenei was unwanted even by his father. Trump has since touted indirect diplomatic contacts from Tehran seeking talks to end the Middle East conflict, insisting Iran "get serious soon" while repeatedly questioning Mojtaba's health—alleging as recently as March 30 that he is dead, wounded, or incapacitated, with "no one heard from him." No verified direct communication between Trump and Mojtaba has occurred, amid ongoing airstrikes and Trump's forecast of operations wrapping in 2-3 weeks, potentially opening broader negotiations. Traders weigh these regime succession tensions and unconfirmed backchannels against the market's resolution criteria for verifiable talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы