Trader consensus in the WI-03 House race favors the Democratic Party at 52% implied probability over Republicans at 27%, driven by a March 26 Impact Research poll released this week showing Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leading incumbent Rep. Derrick Van Orden 49%-48% among likely voters. This rematch of their tight 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed narrowly, reflects the district's battleground status in western Wisconsin's Driftless region, with Trump carrying it by a slim margin last year. Competitive fundraising, Cooke's broad coalition-building, and Van Orden's slight moderation on key issues amid national House Republicans' vulnerability underpin the closely contested pricing ahead of the August 11 primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-03
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
52%
Республиканская партия
45%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
52%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the WI-03 House race favors the Democratic Party at 52% implied probability over Republicans at 27%, driven by a March 26 Impact Research poll released this week showing Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leading incumbent Rep. Derrick Van Orden 49%-48% among likely voters. This rematch of their tight 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed narrowly, reflects the district's battleground status in western Wisconsin's Driftless region, with Trump carrying it by a slim margin last year. Competitive fundraising, Cooke's broad coalition-building, and Van Orden's slight moderation on key issues amid national House Republicans' vulnerability underpin the closely contested pricing ahead of the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the WI-03 House race favors the Democratic Party at 52% implied probability over Republicans at 27%, driven by a March 26 Impact Research poll released this week showing Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leading incumbent Rep. Derrick Van Orden 49%-48% among likely voters. This rematch of their tight 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed narrowly, reflects the district's battleground status in western Wisconsin's Driftless region, with Trump carrying it by a slim margin last year. Competitive fundraising, Cooke's broad coalition-building, and Van Orden's slight moderation on key issues amid national House Republicans' vulnerability underpin the closely contested pricing ahead of the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the WI-03 House race favors the Democratic Party at 52% implied probability over Republicans at 27%, driven by a March 26 Impact Research poll released this week showing Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leading incumbent Rep. Derrick Van Orden 49%-48% among likely voters. This rematch of their tight 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed narrowly, reflects the district's battleground status in western Wisconsin's Driftless region, with Trump carrying it by a slim margin last year. Competitive fundraising, Cooke's broad coalition-building, and Van Orden's slight moderation on key issues amid national House Republicans' vulnerability underpin the closely contested pricing ahead of the August 11 primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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