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Технологии·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Market icon
Технологии·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Google 54%

Anthropic 39%

OpenAI 3.1%

Mistral 1.8%

Polymarket

$73,817 Объем

Google 54%

Anthropic 39%

OpenAI 3.1%

Mistral 1.8%

Polymarket

$73,817 Объем

Market icon

Google

$10,892 Объем

54%

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Anthropic

$6,548 Объем

39%

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OpenAI

$2,536 Объем

3%

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Mistral

$2,472 Объем

2%

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DeepSeek

$2,361 Объем

2%

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Baidu

$2,294 Объем

2%

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xAI

$2,503 Объем

1%

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Z.ai

$16,765 Объем

1%

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ByteDance

$5,910 Объем

1%

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Amazon

$2,400 Объем

<1%

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Moonshot

$2,209 Объем

<1%

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Alibaba

$14,290 Объем

<1%

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Meituan

$2,638 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 53.5% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, closely trailed by Anthropic at 38%, reflecting the razor-thin margins atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released February 19, surged to top reasoning and multimodal benchmarks like ARC-AGI-2 (77.1%) and GPQA, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 dominates coding arenas (e.g., 2002 Elo) and complex tasks since early March. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 ties Gemini in intelligence indexes but leads in agentic coding, positioning it firmly for a top-two finish and relegating others like Mistral below 2%. With April releases looming from major labs, leaderboard volatility persists amid rapid iteration in large language model capabilities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 53.5% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, closely trailed by Anthropic at 38%, reflecting the razor-thin margins atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released February 19, surged to top reasoning and multimodal benchmarks like ARC-AGI-2 (77.1%) and GPQA, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 dominates coding arenas (e.g., 2002 Elo) and complex tasks since early March. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 ties Gemini in intelligence indexes but leads in agentic coding, positioning it firmly for a top-two finish and relegating others like Mistral below 2%. With April releases looming from major labs, leaderboard volatility persists amid rapid iteration in large language model capabilities.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 53.5% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, closely trailed by Anthropic at 38%, reflecting the razor-thin margins atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released February 19, surged to top reasoning and multimodal benchmarks like ARC-AGI-2 (77.1%) and GPQA, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 dominates coding arenas (e.g., 2002 Elo) and complex tasks since early March. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 ties Gemini in intelligence indexes but leads in agentic coding, positioning it firmly for a top-two finish and relegating others like Mistral below 2%. With April releases looming from major labs, leaderboard volatility persists amid rapid iteration in large language model capabilities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 53.5% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, closely trailed by Anthropic at 38%, reflecting the razor-thin margins atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released February 19, surged to top reasoning and multimodal benchmarks like ARC-AGI-2 (77.1%) and GPQA, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 dominates coding arenas (e.g., 2002 Elo) and complex tasks since early March. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 ties Gemini in intelligence indexes but leads in agentic coding, positioning it firmly for a top-two finish and relegating others like Mistral below 2%. With April releases looming from major labs, leaderboard volatility persists amid rapid iteration in large language model capabilities.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which company has the third best AI model end of April?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Google» с 54%, за ним следует «Anthropic» с 39%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which company has the third best AI model end of April?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $73.8K с момента запуска рынка Mar 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which company has the third best AI model end of April?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which company has the third best AI model end of April?» — «Google» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Anthropic» с 39%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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