Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+10 Partisan Voting Index, strongly favors the GOP in trader consensus for the open seat race following incumbent Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and past challenger Jerrod Sessler—contrasts with a thinner Democratic lineup led by John Duresky, reinforcing the district's historical GOP dominance seen in blowout general election margins. The state's top-two primary on August 4, 2026, heightens risks of an all-Republican general election matchup, with no recent polling to suggest Democratic competitiveness amid stable national midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,645 Объем
$19,645 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
17%
$19,645 Объем
$19,645 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$10,528 Объем
84%
Демократическая партия
$9,117 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+10 Partisan Voting Index, strongly favors the GOP in trader consensus for the open seat race following incumbent Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and past challenger Jerrod Sessler—contrasts with a thinner Democratic lineup led by John Duresky, reinforcing the district's historical GOP dominance seen in blowout general election margins. The state's top-two primary on August 4, 2026, heightens risks of an all-Republican general election matchup, with no recent polling to suggest Democratic competitiveness amid stable national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$19,645Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+10 Partisan Voting Index, strongly favors the GOP in trader consensus for the open seat race following incumbent Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and past challenger Jerrod Sessler—contrasts with a thinner Democratic lineup led by John Duresky, reinforcing the district's historical GOP dominance seen in blowout general election margins. The state's top-two primary on August 4, 2026, heightens risks of an all-Republican general election matchup, with no recent polling to suggest Democratic competitiveness amid stable national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,645Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+10 Partisan Voting Index, strongly favors the GOP in trader consensus for the open seat race following incumbent Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. A crowded Republican primary field—including state Sen. Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, and past challenger Jerrod Sessler—contrasts with a thinner Democratic lineup led by John Duresky, reinforcing the district's historical GOP dominance seen in blowout general election margins. The state's top-two primary on August 4, 2026, heightens risks of an all-Republican general election matchup, with no recent polling to suggest Democratic competitiveness amid stable national midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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