Trader consensus heavily favors Republican at 80% implied probability for the Vermont gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's unmatched popularity—holding the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per February Morning Consult data—and his landslide 2024 re-election to a fifth term in the Democratic-leaning state. Scott, eligible for a sixth term with no limits, has not declared but remains the presumed nominee amid no other Republican entrants, bolstering expectations of continued moderate incumbency advantage. Democrat odds at 18.5% reflect a thin field, highlighted by economist Amanda Janoo's March 10 candidacy launch, which failed to move markets amid her limited name recognition. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican; primaries are August 11, with no head-to-head polls yet.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
Победитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
80%
Демократ
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$2,370 Объем
80%
Демократ
$5,189 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republican at 80% implied probability for the Vermont gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's unmatched popularity—holding the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per February Morning Consult data—and his landslide 2024 re-election to a fifth term in the Democratic-leaning state. Scott, eligible for a sixth term with no limits, has not declared but remains the presumed nominee amid no other Republican entrants, bolstering expectations of continued moderate incumbency advantage. Democrat odds at 18.5% reflect a thin field, highlighted by economist Amanda Janoo's March 10 candidacy launch, which failed to move markets amid her limited name recognition. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican; primaries are August 11, with no head-to-head polls yet.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$7,559Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republican at 80% implied probability for the Vermont gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's unmatched popularity—holding the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per February Morning Consult data—and his landslide 2024 re-election to a fifth term in the Democratic-leaning state. Scott, eligible for a sixth term with no limits, has not declared but remains the presumed nominee amid no other Republican entrants, bolstering expectations of continued moderate incumbency advantage. Democrat odds at 18.5% reflect a thin field, highlighted by economist Amanda Janoo's March 10 candidacy launch, which failed to move markets amid her limited name recognition. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican; primaries are August 11, with no head-to-head polls yet.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$7,559Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republican at 80% implied probability for the Vermont gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's unmatched popularity—holding the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per February Morning Consult data—and his landslide 2024 re-election to a fifth term in the Democratic-leaning state. Scott, eligible for a sixth term with no limits, has not declared but remains the presumed nominee amid no other Republican entrants, bolstering expectations of continued moderate incumbency advantage. Democrat odds at 18.5% reflect a thin field, highlighted by economist Amanda Janoo's March 10 candidacy launch, which failed to move markets amid her limited name recognition. Cook Political rates it Solid Republican; primaries are August 11, with no head-to-head polls yet.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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