Post-2024 election Republican control of the White House, House, and Senate under President-elect Donald Trump has driven trader consensus towards a "No" outcome at 57.5%, reflecting expectations of deregulation over stringent AI safety measures. Trump's pledges to repeal President Biden's October 2023 AI executive order on day one and prioritize innovation have dampened prospects for comprehensive legislation, amid unified GOP government focusing on tax cuts, border security, and energy rather than tech regulations. Despite bipartisan efforts like the Senate's AI Roadmap and bills such as the AI Foundation Model Transparency Act stalling in the 118th Congress, no AI safety bill has advanced to enactment, with the 119th Congress convening January 2025 unlikely to prioritize it before 2027 absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$72,153 Объем
$72,153 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$72,153 Объем
$72,153 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Post-2024 election Republican control of the White House, House, and Senate under President-elect Donald Trump has driven trader consensus towards a "No" outcome at 57.5%, reflecting expectations of deregulation over stringent AI safety measures. Trump's pledges to repeal President Biden's October 2023 AI executive order on day one and prioritize innovation have dampened prospects for comprehensive legislation, amid unified GOP government focusing on tax cuts, border security, and energy rather than tech regulations. Despite bipartisan efforts like the Senate's AI Roadmap and bills such as the AI Foundation Model Transparency Act stalling in the 118th Congress, no AI safety bill has advanced to enactment, with the 119th Congress convening January 2025 unlikely to prioritize it before 2027 absent major shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Объем
$72,153Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Post-2024 election Republican control of the White House, House, and Senate under President-elect Donald Trump has driven trader consensus towards a "No" outcome at 57.5%, reflecting expectations of deregulation over stringent AI safety measures. Trump's pledges to repeal President Biden's October 2023 AI executive order on day one and prioritize innovation have dampened prospects for comprehensive legislation, amid unified GOP government focusing on tax cuts, border security, and energy rather than tech regulations. Despite bipartisan efforts like the Senate's AI Roadmap and bills such as the AI Foundation Model Transparency Act stalling in the 118th Congress, no AI safety bill has advanced to enactment, with the 119th Congress convening January 2025 unlikely to prioritize it before 2027 absent major shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$72,153Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Post-2024 election Republican control of the White House, House, and Senate under President-elect Donald Trump has driven trader consensus towards a "No" outcome at 57.5%, reflecting expectations of deregulation over stringent AI safety measures. Trump's pledges to repeal President Biden's October 2023 AI executive order on day one and prioritize innovation have dampened prospects for comprehensive legislation, amid unified GOP government focusing on tax cuts, border security, and energy rather than tech regulations. Despite bipartisan efforts like the Senate's AI Roadmap and bills such as the AI Foundation Model Transparency Act stalling in the 118th Congress, no AI safety bill has advanced to enactment, with the 119th Congress convening January 2025 unlikely to prioritize it before 2027 absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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