Tom Sell's commanding 40% plurality in the March 3 Texas 19th Congressional District Republican primary propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell as an 87% implied probability favorite in this open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Recent momentum includes endorsements from GOPAC and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, plus March 25 announcements of support from eliminated primary rivals Ryan Zink, Donald May, Jason Corley, and James Barbee—excluding third-place Matt Smith—potentially consolidating anti-Enriquez votes. A pro-innovation super PAC's additional $277,000 spend backing Sell, totaling $578,000, underscores his fundraising edge in the safely Republican district, while Enriquez's national messaging lags locally. Early voting begins soon, with turnout key to any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоТом Селл 86.9%
Авраам Энрикес 7.2%
Райан Зинк 2.2%
Мэттью Смит 1.3%
$42,699 Объем
$42,699 Объем
Том Селл
87%
Авраам Энрикес
7%
Райан Зинк
2%
Мэттью Смит
1%
Дональд Мэй
1%
Джейсон Корли
1%
Джеймс Барби
1%
Том Селл 86.9%
Авраам Энрикес 7.2%
Райан Зинк 2.2%
Мэттью Смит 1.3%
$42,699 Объем
$42,699 Объем
Том Селл
87%
Авраам Энрикес
7%
Райан Зинк
2%
Мэттью Смит
1%
Дональд Мэй
1%
Джейсон Корли
1%
Джеймс Барби
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's commanding 40% plurality in the March 3 Texas 19th Congressional District Republican primary propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell as an 87% implied probability favorite in this open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Recent momentum includes endorsements from GOPAC and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, plus March 25 announcements of support from eliminated primary rivals Ryan Zink, Donald May, Jason Corley, and James Barbee—excluding third-place Matt Smith—potentially consolidating anti-Enriquez votes. A pro-innovation super PAC's additional $277,000 spend backing Sell, totaling $578,000, underscores his fundraising edge in the safely Republican district, while Enriquez's national messaging lags locally. Early voting begins soon, with turnout key to any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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