In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26 following incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 89.5% implied probability after his 40.4% first-place finish on March 3 ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%. Recent endorsements yesterday from former primary opponents Jason Corley, Donald May, Ryan Zink, and James Barbee—representing combined support from lower vote-getters—have consolidated backing for Sell, emphasizing local West Texas issues like agriculture. Enriquez, at 8.5%, benefits from Gov. Greg Abbott's endorsement but trails amid Sell's momentum, with early voting starting May 18 potentially decisive in this safe GOP district. Eliminated candidates hold negligible odds as the nominee hinges on the head-to-head matchup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоТом Селл 85.8%
Авраам Энрикес 7.2%
Райан Зинк 2.7%
Мэттью Смит 1.1%
$48,335 Объем
$48,335 Объем
Том Селл
90%
Авраам Энрикес
7%
Райан Зинк
3%
Мэттью Смит
1%
Дональд Мэй
1%
Джейсон Корли
1%
Джеймс Барби
1%
Том Селл 85.8%
Авраам Энрикес 7.2%
Райан Зинк 2.7%
Мэттью Смит 1.1%
$48,335 Объем
$48,335 Объем
Том Селл
90%
Авраам Энрикес
7%
Райан Зинк
3%
Мэттью Смит
1%
Дональд Мэй
1%
Джейсон Корли
1%
Джеймс Барби
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff set for May 26 following incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 89.5% implied probability after his 40.4% first-place finish on March 3 ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%. Recent endorsements yesterday from former primary opponents Jason Corley, Donald May, Ryan Zink, and James Barbee—representing combined support from lower vote-getters—have consolidated backing for Sell, emphasizing local West Texas issues like agriculture. Enriquez, at 8.5%, benefits from Gov. Greg Abbott's endorsement but trails amid Sell's momentum, with early voting starting May 18 potentially decisive in this safe GOP district. Eliminated candidates hold negligible odds as the nominee hinges on the head-to-head matchup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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