Incumbent Republican Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 89.5% of the vote against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, has driven trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House race. This deep-red Panhandle district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and rated Solid Republican, heavily favors GOP incumbents, as evidenced by Jackson's prior unopposed general election wins. Democratic nominee Mark Nair, who ran unopposed in his primary, faces formidable historical barriers including low Democratic turnout and structural GOP dominance. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a major Jackson scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоTX-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$1,281 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 89.5% of the vote against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, has driven trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House race. This deep-red Panhandle district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and rated Solid Republican, heavily favors GOP incumbents, as evidenced by Jackson's prior unopposed general election wins. Democratic nominee Mark Nair, who ran unopposed in his primary, faces formidable historical barriers including low Democratic turnout and structural GOP dominance. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a major Jackson scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$1,281Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 89.5% of the vote against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, has driven trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House race. This deep-red Panhandle district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and rated Solid Republican, heavily favors GOP incumbents, as evidenced by Jackson's prior unopposed general election wins. Democratic nominee Mark Nair, who ran unopposed in his primary, faces formidable historical barriers including low Democratic turnout and structural GOP dominance. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a major Jackson scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,281Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Ronny Jackson's landslide victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 89.5% of the vote against challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, has driven trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party in the TX-13 House race. This deep-red Panhandle district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and rated Solid Republican, heavily favors GOP incumbents, as evidenced by Jackson's prior unopposed general election wins. Democratic nominee Mark Nair, who ran unopposed in his primary, faces formidable historical barriers including low Democratic turnout and structural GOP dominance. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from a major Jackson scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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