Trader consensus prices 71–74% turnout at 36%, reflecting historical parliamentary averages near 70%—as in 2022's 69.6%—boosted by recent polls signaling elevated voter enthusiasm ahead of the April 12 election. Medián's March survey showed 89% "sure to vote," while Republikon Institute forecasted record participation, driven by the competitive race where opposition Tisza Party holds double-digit leads over Fidesz in latest Publicus and other polls. Governing parties emphasize their reliable rural base, but opposition consolidation—with smaller parties withdrawing to back Tisza—and campaign controversies like voter intimidation claims have heightened mobilization. With nine days left, high-stakes dynamics and international observers could tip participation higher, though polls often overstate actual turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено71–74% 36%
74–77% 26%
80%+ 15.6%
68–71% 12%
$101,589 Объем
$101,589 Объем

Менее 65%
<1%

65–68%
4%

68–71%
12%

71–74%
36%

74–77%
26%

77–80%
11%

80%+
16%
71–74% 36%
74–77% 26%
80%+ 15.6%
68–71% 12%
$101,589 Объем
$101,589 Объем

Менее 65%
<1%

65–68%
4%

68–71%
12%

71–74%
36%

74–77%
26%

77–80%
11%

80%+
16%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 71–74% turnout at 36%, reflecting historical parliamentary averages near 70%—as in 2022's 69.6%—boosted by recent polls signaling elevated voter enthusiasm ahead of the April 12 election. Medián's March survey showed 89% "sure to vote," while Republikon Institute forecasted record participation, driven by the competitive race where opposition Tisza Party holds double-digit leads over Fidesz in latest Publicus and other polls. Governing parties emphasize their reliable rural base, but opposition consolidation—with smaller parties withdrawing to back Tisza—and campaign controversies like voter intimidation claims have heightened mobilization. With nine days left, high-stakes dynamics and international observers could tip participation higher, though polls often overstate actual turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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