Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96% implied probability that President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating will rise by April 24 compared to April 17, driven by yesterday's major foreign policy breakthroughs: Iran agreeing to indefinitely suspend its nuclear program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid a U.S. naval blockade that persists until a final deal, and a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire following Trump's directive prohibiting further Israeli strikes. These de-escalation steps reversed recent declines from the Iran War's onset, stabilizing net approval around -17 while slashing oil prices 12% and boosting equities. Polls lag events by days, positioning fresh data for gains; realistic risks include deal breakdowns, escalations, or domestic backlash overshadowing the diplomatic wins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUp
$7,478 Объем
$7,478 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Up
$7,478 Объем
$7,478 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96% implied probability that President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating will rise by April 24 compared to April 17, driven by yesterday's major foreign policy breakthroughs: Iran agreeing to indefinitely suspend its nuclear program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid a U.S. naval blockade that persists until a final deal, and a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire following Trump's directive prohibiting further Israeli strikes. These de-escalation steps reversed recent declines from the Iran War's onset, stabilizing net approval around -17 while slashing oil prices 12% and boosting equities. Polls lag events by days, positioning fresh data for gains; realistic risks include deal breakdowns, escalations, or domestic backlash overshadowing the diplomatic wins.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Объем
$7,478Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96% implied probability that President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating will rise by April 24 compared to April 17, driven by yesterday's major foreign policy breakthroughs: Iran agreeing to indefinitely suspend its nuclear program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid a U.S. naval blockade that persists until a final deal, and a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire following Trump's directive prohibiting further Israeli strikes. These de-escalation steps reversed recent declines from the Iran War's onset, stabilizing net approval around -17 while slashing oil prices 12% and boosting equities. Polls lag events by days, positioning fresh data for gains; realistic risks include deal breakdowns, escalations, or domestic backlash overshadowing the diplomatic wins.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$7,478Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96% implied probability that President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating will rise by April 24 compared to April 17, driven by yesterday's major foreign policy breakthroughs: Iran agreeing to indefinitely suspend its nuclear program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid a U.S. naval blockade that persists until a final deal, and a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire following Trump's directive prohibiting further Israeli strikes. These de-escalation steps reversed recent declines from the Iran War's onset, stabilizing net approval around -17 while slashing oil prices 12% and boosting equities. Polls lag events by days, positioning fresh data for gains; realistic risks include deal breakdowns, escalations, or domestic backlash overshadowing the diplomatic wins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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