Amid fragile ceasefire following the 2026 Iran war, US-Iran negotiations center on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and frame future nuclear talks, with mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey facilitating exchanges. Iran responded via Pakistani channels on May 10 to the latest US peace proposal, demanding reparations, sanctions relief, asset unfreezing, and Hormuz control while rejecting nuclear dismantlement—prompting President Trump to deem it "totally unacceptable," raising escalation risks as oil prices climb. Prior direct talks in Islamabad last month featured US Vice President JD Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf; Secretary of State Marco Rubio's recent Qatar meetings signal preparations for potential next round, though no date is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,158,475 Объем
Дональд Трамп
4%
Марко Рубио
8%
Дж. Д. Ванс
39%
Джаред Кушнер
62%
Стив Виткофф
63%
$1,158,475 Объем
Дональд Трамп
4%
Марко Рубио
8%
Дж. Д. Ванс
39%
Джаред Кушнер
62%
Стив Виткофф
63%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid fragile ceasefire following the 2026 Iran war, US-Iran negotiations center on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and frame future nuclear talks, with mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey facilitating exchanges. Iran responded via Pakistani channels on May 10 to the latest US peace proposal, demanding reparations, sanctions relief, asset unfreezing, and Hormuz control while rejecting nuclear dismantlement—prompting President Trump to deem it "totally unacceptable," raising escalation risks as oil prices climb. Prior direct talks in Islamabad last month featured US Vice President JD Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf; Secretary of State Marco Rubio's recent Qatar meetings signal preparations for potential next round, though no date is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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