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icon for Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)
Геополитика·Награды 50, 4.5, 100

Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)

icon for Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)
Геополитика·Награды 50, 4.5, 100

Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)

Ended: апр. 19

мая 17

Ended: апр. 19

мая 17

80+ 100.0%

<10 <1%

10–19 <1%

20-29 <1%

Polymarket

$273,534 Объем

80+ 100.0%

<10 <1%

10–19 <1%

20-29 <1%

Polymarket

$273,534 Объем

<10

$17,369 Объем

Нет

10–19

$17,228 Объем

Нет

20-29

$10,519 Объем

Нет

30-39

$11,012 Объем

Нет

40-49

$12,352 Объем

Нет

50-59

$9,795 Объем

Нет

60-69

$9,615 Объем

Нет

70-79

$11,668 Объем

Нет

80+

$173,977 Объем

Да

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Объем
$273,534
Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Объем
$273,534
Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «80+» с 100%, за ним следует «<10» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $273.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)» — «80+» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<10» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (13-19 апреля)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.