Incumbent DMK's finalized seat-sharing agreements with allies including Congress, CPI, DMDK, and VCK—announced March 28—alongside its manifesto launch promising Rs 8,000 illa tharasi coupons for women's appliances, have bolstered trader consensus for a DMK victory with most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election. These moves counter opposition fragmentation, as AIADMK-led NDA faces cohesion issues and actor Vijay's TVK risks splitting anti-incumbent votes without securing a majority path. Mixed recent polls like News18-Vote Vibe project a razor-thin race (DMK+ 113–123 seats vs. AIADMK+ 106–116), but traders emphasize DMK's 2021 landslide incumbency edge and welfare scheme appeal among key blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Законодательное собрание штата Тамилнад
Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание штата Тамилнад
ДМК 83%
АДМК 11.5%
TVK 6.2%
AITC <1%
$179,046 Объем
$179,046 Объем
Apr 23, 2026
ДМК
83%
АДМК
12%
TVK
6%
AITC
<1%
КПИ(м)
<1%
DMDK
<1%
БСП
<1%
КПИ
<1%
ИНК
<1%
NPEP
<1%
БДП
<1%
НКП
<1%
ДМК 83%
АДМК 11.5%
TVK 6.2%
AITC <1%
$179,046 Объем
$179,046 Объем
Apr 23, 2026
ДМК
$19,227 Объем
83%
АДМК
$15,716 Объем
12%
TVK
$27,150 Объем
6%
AITC
$18,827 Объем
<1%
КПИ(м)
$19,223 Объем
<1%
DMDK
$12,329 Объем
<1%
БСП
$12,144 Объем
<1%
КПИ
$0 Объем
<1%
ИНК
$16,186 Объем
<1%
NPEP
$12,372 Объем
<1%
БДП
$14,668 Объем
<1%
НКП
$11,205 Объем
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK's finalized seat-sharing agreements with allies including Congress, CPI, DMDK, and VCK—announced March 28—alongside its manifesto launch promising Rs 8,000 illa tharasi coupons for women's appliances, have bolstered trader consensus for a DMK victory with most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election. These moves counter opposition fragmentation, as AIADMK-led NDA faces cohesion issues and actor Vijay's TVK risks splitting anti-incumbent votes without securing a majority path. Mixed recent polls like News18-Vote Vibe project a razor-thin race (DMK+ 113–123 seats vs. AIADMK+ 106–116), but traders emphasize DMK's 2021 landslide incumbency edge and welfare scheme appeal among key blocs.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Объем
$179,046Дата окончания
Apr 23, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK's finalized seat-sharing agreements with allies including Congress, CPI, DMDK, and VCK—announced March 28—alongside its manifesto launch promising Rs 8,000 illa tharasi coupons for women's appliances, have bolstered trader consensus for a DMK victory with most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election. These moves counter opposition fragmentation, as AIADMK-led NDA faces cohesion issues and actor Vijay's TVK risks splitting anti-incumbent votes without securing a majority path. Mixed recent polls like News18-Vote Vibe project a razor-thin race (DMK+ 113–123 seats vs. AIADMK+ 106–116), but traders emphasize DMK's 2021 landslide incumbency edge and welfare scheme appeal among key blocs.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Объем
$179,046Дата окончания
Apr 23, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent DMK's finalized seat-sharing agreements with allies including Congress, CPI, DMDK, and VCK—announced March 28—alongside its manifesto launch promising Rs 8,000 illa tharasi coupons for women's appliances, have bolstered trader consensus for a DMK victory with most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election. These moves counter opposition fragmentation, as AIADMK-led NDA faces cohesion issues and actor Vijay's TVK risks splitting anti-incumbent votes without securing a majority path. Mixed recent polls like News18-Vote Vibe project a razor-thin race (DMK+ 113–123 seats vs. AIADMK+ 106–116), but traders emphasize DMK's 2021 landslide incumbency edge and welfare scheme appeal among key blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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