Polymarket traders view Alternative for Germany (AfD) as near-certain to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, pricing it at 89% implied probability amid consistent opinion polls showing a double-digit lead. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) has AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and rising Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) near the 5% threshold. This positioning reflects AfD's sustained strength in eastern Germany since overtaking CDU in mid-2025 polls, unchanged by CDU's January leadership transition to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. Absent major scandals or turnout swings, trader consensus anticipates AfD's plurality under proportional representation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
АдГ 89%
ХДС 9.4%
СДПГ <1%
Левая партия <1%
$519,168 Объем
$519,168 Объем
Sep 6, 2026
АдГ
89%
ХДС
9%
СДПГ
1%
Левая партия
<1%
BSW
<1%
СвДП
<1%
Зелёные
<1%
АдГ 89%
ХДС 9.4%
СДПГ <1%
Левая партия <1%
$519,168 Объем
$519,168 Объем
Sep 6, 2026
АдГ
$5,602 Объем
89%
ХДС
$462,560 Объем
9%
СДПГ
$36,687 Объем
1%
Левая партия
$2,332 Объем
<1%
BSW
$2,832 Объем
<1%
СвДП
$6,258 Объем
<1%
Зелёные
$2,896 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders view Alternative for Germany (AfD) as near-certain to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, pricing it at 89% implied probability amid consistent opinion polls showing a double-digit lead. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) has AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and rising Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) near the 5% threshold. This positioning reflects AfD's sustained strength in eastern Germany since overtaking CDU in mid-2025 polls, unchanged by CDU's January leadership transition to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. Absent major scandals or turnout swings, trader consensus anticipates AfD's plurality under proportional representation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$519,168Дата окончания
Sep 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders view Alternative for Germany (AfD) as near-certain to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, pricing it at 89% implied probability amid consistent opinion polls showing a double-digit lead. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) has AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and rising Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) near the 5% threshold. This positioning reflects AfD's sustained strength in eastern Germany since overtaking CDU in mid-2025 polls, unchanged by CDU's January leadership transition to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. Absent major scandals or turnout swings, trader consensus anticipates AfD's plurality under proportional representation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$519,168Дата окончания
Sep 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders view Alternative for Germany (AfD) as near-certain to secure the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, pricing it at 89% implied probability amid consistent opinion polls showing a double-digit lead. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) has AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and rising Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) near the 5% threshold. This positioning reflects AfD's sustained strength in eastern Germany since overtaking CDU in mid-2025 polls, unchanged by CDU's January leadership transition to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. Absent major scandals or turnout swings, trader consensus anticipates AfD's plurality under proportional representation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы