Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors United Russia securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its status as the entrenched party of power with Kremlin-backed administrative resources, media dominance, and electoral engineering like expanded remote electronic voting across half the regions. Recent March polls from FOM (41% support) and VCIOM (29%) confirm ER's strong lead over fragmented systemic opposition parties like KPRF (8-10%) and LDPR (10-11%), despite earlier dips tied to rising food prices prompting intensified pro-ER propaganda. United Russia's militarized candidate list, topped by Dmitry Medvedev and war veterans, signals continuity amid the Ukraine conflict. Scenarios challenging this include a major economic collapse, battlefield setbacks eroding mobilization support, or unprecedented protests fracturing turnout control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 95.0%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.6%
Новые люди (НЛ) <1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП) <1%
$868,320 Объем
$868,320 Объем
Sep 30, 2026
Единая Россия (ЕР)
95%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
2%
Новые люди (НЛ)
1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
1%
Родина
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 95.0%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.6%
Новые люди (НЛ) <1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП) <1%
$868,320 Объем
$868,320 Объем
Sep 30, 2026
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$469,627 Объем
95%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$53,434 Объем
2%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$34,430 Объем
1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$75,840 Объем
1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$128,715 Объем
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$31,464 Объем
1%
Родина
$74,810 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors United Russia securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its status as the entrenched party of power with Kremlin-backed administrative resources, media dominance, and electoral engineering like expanded remote electronic voting across half the regions. Recent March polls from FOM (41% support) and VCIOM (29%) confirm ER's strong lead over fragmented systemic opposition parties like KPRF (8-10%) and LDPR (10-11%), despite earlier dips tied to rising food prices prompting intensified pro-ER propaganda. United Russia's militarized candidate list, topped by Dmitry Medvedev and war veterans, signals continuity amid the Ukraine conflict. Scenarios challenging this include a major economic collapse, battlefield setbacks eroding mobilization support, or unprecedented protests fracturing turnout control.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$868,320Дата окончания
Sep 20, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors United Russia securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its status as the entrenched party of power with Kremlin-backed administrative resources, media dominance, and electoral engineering like expanded remote electronic voting across half the regions. Recent March polls from FOM (41% support) and VCIOM (29%) confirm ER's strong lead over fragmented systemic opposition parties like KPRF (8-10%) and LDPR (10-11%), despite earlier dips tied to rising food prices prompting intensified pro-ER propaganda. United Russia's militarized candidate list, topped by Dmitry Medvedev and war veterans, signals continuity amid the Ukraine conflict. Scenarios challenging this include a major economic collapse, battlefield setbacks eroding mobilization support, or unprecedented protests fracturing turnout control.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$868,320Дата окончания
Sep 20, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors United Russia securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its status as the entrenched party of power with Kremlin-backed administrative resources, media dominance, and electoral engineering like expanded remote electronic voting across half the regions. Recent March polls from FOM (41% support) and VCIOM (29%) confirm ER's strong lead over fragmented systemic opposition parties like KPRF (8-10%) and LDPR (10-11%), despite earlier dips tied to rising food prices prompting intensified pro-ER propaganda. United Russia's militarized candidate list, topped by Dmitry Medvedev and war veterans, signals continuity amid the Ukraine conflict. Scenarios challenging this include a major economic collapse, battlefield setbacks eroding mobilization support, or unprecedented protests fracturing turnout control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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