Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, with Senator Marco Rubio third, reflecting early positioning two years before primaries begin. Recent polls show Vance dominating Republican preferences in New Hampshire and conservative straw polls, bolstered by his role as heir apparent in the Trump administration, while Newsom surges past Kamala Harris in California Democratic primary surveys and national hypotheticals amid his high-profile criticisms of GOP policies. Rubio's odds have climbed following reports of President Trump polling advisers on Vance versus Rubio preferences and GOP donor interest in a "draft Rubio" effort tied to his Secretary of State visibility on foreign policy. With 2026 midterms approaching, outcomes in swing states and battlegrounds could solidify frontrunners or elevate challengers through turnout and key endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель президентских выборов 2028 года
Победитель президентских выборов 2028 года
Джей Ди Ванс 17.4%
Гэвин Ньюсом 16.7%
Марко Рубио 10.2%
Александрия Окассио-Кортез 6.0%
$475,210,885 Объем
$475,210,885 Объем

Джей Ди Ванс
17%

Гэвин Ньюсом
17%

Марко Рубио
10%

Александрия Окассио-Кортез
6%

Джон Оссофф
3%

Камала Харрис
3%

Такер Карлсон
3%

Джош Шапиро
2%

Дональд Трамп
2%

Энди Бешар
2%

Пит Буттиджидж
2%

Рон Десантис
2%

Джей Би Притцкер
1%

Джеймс Таларико
1%

Дуэйн 'Скала' Джонсон
1%

Гретчен Уитмер
1%

Иванка Трамп
1%

Джейми Даймон
1%

Мишель Обама
1%

Грег Эбботт
1%

Илон Маск
1%

Уэс Мур
1%

Дональд Трамп-младший
1%

Никки Хейли
1%

Ро Ханна
1%

Томас Мэсси
1%

Тим Уолц
1%

Гленн Янгкин
1%

Стивен Смит
1%

Тулси Габбард
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Вивек Рамасвами
1%

Эрик Трамп
1%

Пит Хегсетh
1%

Ким Кардашьян
1%

Леброн Джеймс
<1%
Джей Ди Ванс 17.4%
Гэвин Ньюсом 16.7%
Марко Рубио 10.2%
Александрия Окассио-Кортез 6.0%
$475,210,885 Объем
$475,210,885 Объем

Джей Ди Ванс
17%

Гэвин Ньюсом
17%

Марко Рубио
10%

Александрия Окассио-Кортез
6%

Джон Оссофф
3%

Камала Харрис
3%

Такер Карлсон
3%

Джош Шапиро
2%

Дональд Трамп
2%

Энди Бешар
2%

Пит Буттиджидж
2%

Рон Десантис
2%

Джей Би Притцкер
1%

Джеймс Таларико
1%

Дуэйн 'Скала' Джонсон
1%

Гретчен Уитмер
1%

Иванка Трамп
1%

Джейми Даймон
1%

Мишель Обама
1%

Грег Эбботт
1%

Илон Маск
1%

Уэс Мур
1%

Дональд Трамп-младший
1%

Никки Хейли
1%

Ро Ханна
1%

Томас Мэсси
1%

Тим Уолц
1%

Гленн Янгкин
1%

Стивен Смит
1%

Тулси Габбард
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Вивек Рамасвами
1%

Эрик Трамп
1%

Пит Хегсетh
1%

Ким Кардашьян
1%

Леброн Джеймс
<1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Открытие рынка: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, with Senator Marco Rubio third, reflecting early positioning two years before primaries begin. Recent polls show Vance dominating Republican preferences in New Hampshire and conservative straw polls, bolstered by his role as heir apparent in the Trump administration, while Newsom surges past Kamala Harris in California Democratic primary surveys and national hypotheticals amid his high-profile criticisms of GOP policies. Rubio's odds have climbed following reports of President Trump polling advisers on Vance versus Rubio preferences and GOP donor interest in a "draft Rubio" effort tied to his Secretary of State visibility on foreign policy. With 2026 midterms approaching, outcomes in swing states and battlegrounds could solidify frontrunners or elevate challengers through turnout and key endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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