Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a statistical tie on popular vote, yet the PQ maintains a clear lead in seat projections due to stronger francophone support and first-past-the-post dynamics. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground since Christine Fréchette became leader following François Legault’s January resignation, though it trails significantly. These trends, combined with historical voting patterns across regions, underpin the current trader consensus on likely outcomes for the October 2026 election. Uncertainty remains given the close race and potential shifts among undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Квебекская партия 56%
КЛП 25%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 18%
КПК <1%
$536,790 Объем
$536,790 Объем

Квебекская партия
56%

КЛП
25%

Коалиция за будущее Квебека
18%

КПК
1%

QS
<1%

ПВК
<1%
Квебекская партия 56%
КЛП 25%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 18%
КПК <1%
$536,790 Объем
$536,790 Объем

Квебекская партия
56%

КЛП
25%

Коалиция за будущее Квебека
18%

КПК
1%

QS
<1%

ПВК
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a statistical tie on popular vote, yet the PQ maintains a clear lead in seat projections due to stronger francophone support and first-past-the-post dynamics. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground since Christine Fréchette became leader following François Legault’s January resignation, though it trails significantly. These trends, combined with historical voting patterns across regions, underpin the current trader consensus on likely outcomes for the October 2026 election. Uncertainty remains given the close race and potential shifts among undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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