Trader consensus prices no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 69%, reflecting entrenched delays since the last House of Representatives polls in 2005, exacerbated by expired voter registers, unresolved district boundaries, and Guurti upper house extensions. November 13, 2024, presidential and district council elections proceeded successfully, with ruling Kulmiye Party securing President Muse Bihi Abdi's re-election (54.8%) and local majorities, yet opposition Waddani (37.8% presidential, strong local gains) and UCID pressed for parliamentary reforms without a National Electoral Commission timeline. Absent firm scheduling amid historical postponements and funding hurdles, traders assign slim odds to Waddani (12.5%) as potential frontrunner if held, followed by Kulmiye (5.9%) and UCID (4.0%).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Победитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 78%
Ваддани 13%
Кулмийе 5.0%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
69%
Ваддани
13%
Кулмийе
5%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
4%
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 78%
Ваддани 13%
Кулмийе 5.0%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
$2,981 Объем
69%
Ваддани
$772 Объем
13%
Кулмийе
$1,263 Объем
5%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
$2,966 Объем
4%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus prices no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 69%, reflecting entrenched delays since the last House of Representatives polls in 2005, exacerbated by expired voter registers, unresolved district boundaries, and Guurti upper house extensions. November 13, 2024, presidential and district council elections proceeded successfully, with ruling Kulmiye Party securing President Muse Bihi Abdi's re-election (54.8%) and local majorities, yet opposition Waddani (37.8% presidential, strong local gains) and UCID pressed for parliamentary reforms without a National Electoral Commission timeline. Absent firm scheduling amid historical postponements and funding hurdles, traders assign slim odds to Waddani (12.5%) as potential frontrunner if held, followed by Kulmiye (5.9%) and UCID (4.0%).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Объем
$7,982Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus prices no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 69%, reflecting entrenched delays since the last House of Representatives polls in 2005, exacerbated by expired voter registers, unresolved district boundaries, and Guurti upper house extensions. November 13, 2024, presidential and district council elections proceeded successfully, with ruling Kulmiye Party securing President Muse Bihi Abdi's re-election (54.8%) and local majorities, yet opposition Waddani (37.8% presidential, strong local gains) and UCID pressed for parliamentary reforms without a National Electoral Commission timeline. Absent firm scheduling amid historical postponements and funding hurdles, traders assign slim odds to Waddani (12.5%) as potential frontrunner if held, followed by Kulmiye (5.9%) and UCID (4.0%).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Объем
$7,982Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 69%, reflecting entrenched delays since the last House of Representatives polls in 2005, exacerbated by expired voter registers, unresolved district boundaries, and Guurti upper house extensions. November 13, 2024, presidential and district council elections proceeded successfully, with ruling Kulmiye Party securing President Muse Bihi Abdi's re-election (54.8%) and local majorities, yet opposition Waddani (37.8% presidential, strong local gains) and UCID pressed for parliamentary reforms without a National Electoral Commission timeline. Absent firm scheduling amid historical postponements and funding hurdles, traders assign slim odds to Waddani (12.5%) as potential frontrunner if held, followed by Kulmiye (5.9%) and UCID (4.0%).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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