With Peru's general election one week away on April 12, trader consensus on the Senate plurality winner reflects razor-thin margins among top parties in fragmented late polls, as Juntos por el Perú (JP) edges Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) amid 28% undecided voters per the April 4 IEP survey showing FP at 8.5%, RP 6.4%, and JP 5.7%. Ipsos' April 1-2 simulacro similarly clusters leaders under 17% with high blank/null rates and confusion over the new bicameral cédula's five-column cross-voting for 60 senators (30 national, 30 regional). Aklla projections give FP a slim 18-seat lead over RP and JP's 13 each, but regional turnout, final presidential debate echoes favoring FP's Keiko Fujimori, or undecided consolidation could tip the balance before polls close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Перу
Победитель выборов в Сенат Перу
RP 29%
JP 28.1%
FP 28%
APP 5.7%
$14,863 Объем
$14,863 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
RP
24%
JP
28%
FP
28%
APP
6%
AvP
1%
SP
1%
PL
<1%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
RP 29%
JP 28.1%
FP 28%
APP 5.7%
$14,863 Объем
$14,863 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
RP
$1,084 Объем
24%
JP
$8,071 Объем
28%
FP
$1,045 Объем
28%
APP
$1,256 Объем
6%
AvP
$1,079 Объем
1%
SP
$520 Объем
1%
PL
$521 Объем
<1%
PP
$742 Объем
<1%
AP
$545 Объем
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With Peru's general election one week away on April 12, trader consensus on the Senate plurality winner reflects razor-thin margins among top parties in fragmented late polls, as Juntos por el Perú (JP) edges Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) amid 28% undecided voters per the April 4 IEP survey showing FP at 8.5%, RP 6.4%, and JP 5.7%. Ipsos' April 1-2 simulacro similarly clusters leaders under 17% with high blank/null rates and confusion over the new bicameral cédula's five-column cross-voting for 60 senators (30 national, 30 regional). Aklla projections give FP a slim 18-seat lead over RP and JP's 13 each, but regional turnout, final presidential debate echoes favoring FP's Keiko Fujimori, or undecided consolidation could tip the balance before polls close.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Объем
$14,863Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With Peru's general election one week away on April 12, trader consensus on the Senate plurality winner reflects razor-thin margins among top parties in fragmented late polls, as Juntos por el Perú (JP) edges Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) amid 28% undecided voters per the April 4 IEP survey showing FP at 8.5%, RP 6.4%, and JP 5.7%. Ipsos' April 1-2 simulacro similarly clusters leaders under 17% with high blank/null rates and confusion over the new bicameral cédula's five-column cross-voting for 60 senators (30 national, 30 regional). Aklla projections give FP a slim 18-seat lead over RP and JP's 13 each, but regional turnout, final presidential debate echoes favoring FP's Keiko Fujimori, or undecided consolidation could tip the balance before polls close.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Объем
$14,863Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Peru's general election one week away on April 12, trader consensus on the Senate plurality winner reflects razor-thin margins among top parties in fragmented late polls, as Juntos por el Perú (JP) edges Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) amid 28% undecided voters per the April 4 IEP survey showing FP at 8.5%, RP 6.4%, and JP 5.7%. Ipsos' April 1-2 simulacro similarly clusters leaders under 17% with high blank/null rates and confusion over the new bicameral cédula's five-column cross-voting for 60 senators (30 national, 30 regional). Aklla projections give FP a slim 18-seat lead over RP and JP's 13 each, but regional turnout, final presidential debate echoes favoring FP's Keiko Fujimori, or undecided consolidation could tip the balance before polls close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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