Trader consensus on Polymarket gives comedian Carlos Álvarez a 31.6% implied probability of winning Peru's presidency, driven by his surge to 18.6% in the latest Ipsos/Perú21 poll (April 1-2) after JNE-organized debates, positioning him as the fragmented field's anti-establishment frontrunner amid chronic political instability with 35 candidates. Keiko Fujimori, three-time runner-up with a right-wing Popular Force base, holds 21.5% despite dipping to 10.9% in the poll; Rafael López Aliaga (17.5%), the conservative ex-Lima mayor, slipped to third at 4.4%; and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (16.0%), Together for Peru leader, maintains center-left support. High undecideds (over 20%) and volatility could consolidate behind Álvarez's outsider appeal or right-wing alternatives for the April 12 first round and likely June runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель президентских выборов в Перу
Победитель президентских выборов в Перу
Карлос Альварес 28.7%
Кейко Фухимори 22%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 18%
Роберто Санчес Паломино 16.0%
$6,005,433 Объем
$6,005,433 Объем

Карлос Альварес
29%

Кейко Фухимори
22%

Рафаэль Лопес Алиага
18%

Роберто Санчес Паломино
16%

Рикардо Бельмонт
5%

Альфонсо Лопес Чау
3%

Хорхе Нието
3%

Карлос Эспа
1%

Марисоль Перес Тельо
1%

Сесар Акунья
<1%

Фернандо Оливера
<1%

Йонхи Лескано
<1%

Вольфганг Грозо
<1%

Месияс Гевара
<1%

Джордж Форсайт
<1%

Владимир Серрон
<1%

Роберто Чиабра
<1%

Энрике Вальдеррама
<1%

Марио Вискарра
<1%

Хосе Луна
<1%

Хосе Уильямс
<1%

Фиорелла Молинелли
<1%

Рафаэль Белаунде Льоса
<1%
Карлос Альварес 28.7%
Кейко Фухимори 22%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 18%
Роберто Санчес Паломино 16.0%
$6,005,433 Объем
$6,005,433 Объем

Карлос Альварес
29%

Кейко Фухимори
22%

Рафаэль Лопес Алиага
18%

Роберто Санчес Паломино
16%

Рикардо Бельмонт
5%

Альфонсо Лопес Чау
3%

Хорхе Нието
3%

Карлос Эспа
1%

Марисоль Перес Тельо
1%

Сесар Акунья
<1%

Фернандо Оливера
<1%

Йонхи Лескано
<1%

Вольфганг Грозо
<1%

Месияс Гевара
<1%

Джордж Форсайт
<1%

Владимир Серрон
<1%

Роберто Чиабра
<1%

Энрике Вальдеррама
<1%

Марио Вискарра
<1%

Хосе Луна
<1%

Хосе Уильямс
<1%

Фиорелла Молинелли
<1%

Рафаэль Белаунде Льоса
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives comedian Carlos Álvarez a 31.6% implied probability of winning Peru's presidency, driven by his surge to 18.6% in the latest Ipsos/Perú21 poll (April 1-2) after JNE-organized debates, positioning him as the fragmented field's anti-establishment frontrunner amid chronic political instability with 35 candidates. Keiko Fujimori, three-time runner-up with a right-wing Popular Force base, holds 21.5% despite dipping to 10.9% in the poll; Rafael López Aliaga (17.5%), the conservative ex-Lima mayor, slipped to third at 4.4%; and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (16.0%), Together for Peru leader, maintains center-left support. High undecideds (over 20%) and volatility could consolidate behind Álvarez's outsider appeal or right-wing alternatives for the April 12 first round and likely June runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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