Trader consensus prices Carlos Álvarez, Rafael López Aliaga, and Keiko Fujimori in a virtual three-way tie atop the field for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote, implying tight positioning for the top-two spots to advance to a June runoff amid a record 35-plus candidates fragmenting the vote. Recent Ipsos, Datum, and IEP polls from late March—such as Fujimori at 11-13%, López Aliaga at 9-11.7% (down sharply), and Álvarez rising to 7-8%—underscore the deadlock, with 20-25% undecided or blank votes amplifying volatility and regional splits, like youth support boosting Álvarez. The just-concluded televised debate cycle, marked by frontrunner clashes without breakouts, sustains uncertainty; final campaign rallies, endorsements, or scandals could tip margins before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель президентских выборов в Перу
Победитель президентских выборов в Перу
Карлос Альварес 23.9%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 23%
Кейко Фухимори 22%
Роберто Санчес Паломино 13.7%
$5,700,159 Объем
$5,700,159 Объем

Карлос Альварес
24%

Рафаэль Лопес Алиага
23%

Кейко Фухимори
22%

Роберто Санчес Паломино
14%

Альфонсо Лопес Чау
5%

Рикардо Бельмонт
5%

Хорхе Нието
5%

Марисоль Перес Тельо
1%

Йонхи Лескано
1%

Фернандо Оливера
1%

Карлос Эспа
1%

Месияс Гевара
<1%

Сесар Акунья
<1%

Джордж Форсайт
<1%

Вольфганг Грозо
<1%

Марио Вискарра
<1%

Владимир Серрон
<1%

Роберто Чиабра
<1%

Энрике Вальдеррама
<1%

Хосе Луна
<1%

Хосе Уильямс
<1%

Фиорелла Молинелли
<1%

Рафаэль Белаунде Льоса
<1%
Карлос Альварес 23.9%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 23%
Кейко Фухимори 22%
Роберто Санчес Паломино 13.7%
$5,700,159 Объем
$5,700,159 Объем

Карлос Альварес
24%

Рафаэль Лопес Алиага
23%

Кейко Фухимори
22%

Роберто Санчес Паломино
14%

Альфонсо Лопес Чау
5%

Рикардо Бельмонт
5%

Хорхе Нието
5%

Марисоль Перес Тельо
1%

Йонхи Лескано
1%

Фернандо Оливера
1%

Карлос Эспа
1%

Месияс Гевара
<1%

Сесар Акунья
<1%

Джордж Форсайт
<1%

Вольфганг Грозо
<1%

Марио Вискарра
<1%

Владимир Серрон
<1%

Роберто Чиабра
<1%

Энрике Вальдеррама
<1%

Хосе Луна
<1%

Хосе Уильямс
<1%

Фиорелла Молинелли
<1%

Рафаэль Белаунде Льоса
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Carlos Álvarez, Rafael López Aliaga, and Keiko Fujimori in a virtual three-way tie atop the field for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote, implying tight positioning for the top-two spots to advance to a June runoff amid a record 35-plus candidates fragmenting the vote. Recent Ipsos, Datum, and IEP polls from late March—such as Fujimori at 11-13%, López Aliaga at 9-11.7% (down sharply), and Álvarez rising to 7-8%—underscore the deadlock, with 20-25% undecided or blank votes amplifying volatility and regional splits, like youth support boosting Álvarez. The just-concluded televised debate cycle, marked by frontrunner clashes without breakouts, sustains uncertainty; final campaign rallies, endorsements, or scandals could tip margins before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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