Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату депутатов Перу
Победитель выборов в Палату депутатов Перу
FP 39%
JP 24.6%
RP 24%
APP 4.4%
$26,852 Объем
$26,852 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
FP
39%
PL
<1%
AP
<1%
APP
4%
AvP
<1%
RP
24%
SP
3%
PP
<1%
JP
25%
FP 39%
JP 24.6%
RP 24%
APP 4.4%
$26,852 Объем
$26,852 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$3,315 Объем
39%
PL
$679 Объем
<1%
AP
$7,264 Объем
<1%
APP
$2,096 Объем
4%
AvP
$588 Объем
<1%
RP
$2,008 Объем
24%
SP
$2,478 Объем
3%
PP
$1,190 Объем
<1%
JP
$7,234 Объем
25%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Объем
$26,852Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Объем
$26,852Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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