Former Sen. Sherrod Brown's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the May 5 Ohio Democratic primary for the special U.S. Senate election stems from his undefeated record across 50 years of primaries, massive fundraising edge—millions raised versus challengers' thousands—and endorsements from the Ohio Democratic Party and labor unions. Recent coverage, including a Dayton Daily News profile one day ago, underscores weak opposition from retired developer Ron Kincaid and negligible traction among longshots like state Rep. Allison Russo, Rep. Greg Landsman, and ex-Rep. Tim Ryan, who declined bids. No primary polls exist, but general election surveys treat Brown as the presumptive nominee. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises, though trader consensus sees barriers as insurmountable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоШеррод Браун 98.4%
Эллисон Руссо 1.1%
Грег Лэндсмен <1%
Тим Райан <1%
$15,988 Объем
$15,988 Объем
Шеррод Браун
98%
Эллисон Руссо
1%
Грег Лэндсмен
1%
Тим Райан
<1%
Шеррод Браун 98.4%
Эллисон Руссо 1.1%
Грег Лэндсмен <1%
Тим Райан <1%
$15,988 Объем
$15,988 Объем
Шеррод Браун
98%
Эллисон Руссо
1%
Грег Лэндсмен
1%
Тим Райан
<1%
If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Sen. Sherrod Brown's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the May 5 Ohio Democratic primary for the special U.S. Senate election stems from his undefeated record across 50 years of primaries, massive fundraising edge—millions raised versus challengers' thousands—and endorsements from the Ohio Democratic Party and labor unions. Recent coverage, including a Dayton Daily News profile one day ago, underscores weak opposition from retired developer Ron Kincaid and negligible traction among longshots like state Rep. Allison Russo, Rep. Greg Landsman, and ex-Rep. Tim Ryan, who declined bids. No primary polls exist, but general election surveys treat Brown as the presumptive nominee. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises, though trader consensus sees barriers as insurmountable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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