Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, with its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index under new boundaries drawn in October 2025, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election, reflecting incumbent Joyce Beatty's strong position for renomination in the May 5 Democratic primary over minor challenger Joe Gerard. On the Republican side, Cleophus Dulaney's repeat candidacy—after prior lopsided losses to Beatty and amid his January 6 Capitol riot charges—lacks competitive momentum or fundraising edge in this Columbus-based battleground. Absent a Beatty scandal, health event, or overwhelming national GOP midterm wave, the structural Democratic tilt sustains the frontrunner's commanding lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-03
$17,592 Объем
$17,592 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$17,592 Объем
$17,592 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, with its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index under new boundaries drawn in October 2025, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election, reflecting incumbent Joyce Beatty's strong position for renomination in the May 5 Democratic primary over minor challenger Joe Gerard. On the Republican side, Cleophus Dulaney's repeat candidacy—after prior lopsided losses to Beatty and amid his January 6 Capitol riot charges—lacks competitive momentum or fundraising edge in this Columbus-based battleground. Absent a Beatty scandal, health event, or overwhelming national GOP midterm wave, the structural Democratic tilt sustains the frontrunner's commanding lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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