Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands trader consensus at 83% implied probability for the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his three-term record, strong local engagement, and a high-profile endorsement from former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on March 23, signaling party establishment support amid left-wing challenges over his pro-Israel stance. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake trails at 14% as the primary challenger, leveraging critiques of Torres' foreign policy priorities but facing incumbency barriers and past scrutiny of his defense contractor ties. Public defender Dalourny Nemorin holds 2.1% with DSA backing, while Amanda Septimo's 1.1% reflects her January suspension due to health issues, leaving limited field disruption three months pre-primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРичи Торрес 83%
Майкл Блейк 14%
Далурни Неморин 2.1%
Аманда Септимо 1.1%
$14,996 Объем
$14,996 Объем
Ричи Торрес
83%
Майкл Блейк
14%
Далурни Неморин
2%
Аманда Септимо
1%
Ричи Торрес 83%
Майкл Блейк 14%
Далурни Неморин 2.1%
Аманда Септимо 1.1%
$14,996 Объем
$14,996 Объем
Ричи Торрес
83%
Майкл Блейк
14%
Далурни Неморин
2%
Аманда Септимо
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands trader consensus at 83% implied probability for the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his three-term record, strong local engagement, and a high-profile endorsement from former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on March 23, signaling party establishment support amid left-wing challenges over his pro-Israel stance. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake trails at 14% as the primary challenger, leveraging critiques of Torres' foreign policy priorities but facing incumbency barriers and past scrutiny of his defense contractor ties. Public defender Dalourny Nemorin holds 2.1% with DSA backing, while Amanda Septimo's 1.1% reflects her January suspension due to health issues, leaving limited field disruption three months pre-primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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