Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres holds a commanding trader consensus at 81% implied probability for the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by DSA organizer Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension announced March 26, which consolidates support amid her prior 2.3% odds. Torres benefits from incumbency in the heavily Democratic Bronx district, recent high-profile endorsements including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and presumed fundraising edge over challengers. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake trails at 16.5%, leveraging criticism of Torres' pro-Israel stance despite his own reported inconsistencies on related issues like BDS; Amanda Septimo's January health-related withdrawal further narrows the field in this closed primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРичи Торрес 81%
Майкл Блейк 16%
Далурни Неморин 2.3%
Аманда Септимо 1.1%
$10,852 Объем
$10,852 Объем
Ричи Торрес
81%
Майкл Блейк
16%
Далурни Неморин
2%
Аманда Септимо
1%
Ричи Торрес 81%
Майкл Блейк 16%
Далурни Неморин 2.3%
Аманда Септимо 1.1%
$10,852 Объем
$10,852 Объем
Ричи Торрес
81%
Майкл Блейк
16%
Далурни Неморин
2%
Аманда Септимо
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres holds a commanding trader consensus at 81% implied probability for the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by DSA organizer Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension announced March 26, which consolidates support amid her prior 2.3% odds. Torres benefits from incumbency in the heavily Democratic Bronx district, recent high-profile endorsements including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and presumed fundraising edge over challengers. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake trails at 16.5%, leveraging criticism of Torres' pro-Israel stance despite his own reported inconsistencies on related issues like BDS; Amanda Septimo's January health-related withdrawal further narrows the field in this closed primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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