Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, driven by her Democratic Socialists of America backing, union support from UAW, and endorsement from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, aligning with the district's progressive Brooklyn-Queens base including Sunnyside and Bushwick. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 32%, bolstered by recent endorsements from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, AG Letitia James (March 3), Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), and Working Families Party (late February), plus superior early fundraising with over $300,000 cash on hand as of December 2025. Without public polls, odds reflect grassroots momentum versus establishment appeal in this open June 23 contest, ahead of the April 6 filing deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКлэр Вальдес 65%
Антонио Рейносо 32%
Тиффани Кабан 1.4%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес 1.3%
$76,432 Объем
$76,432 Объем
Клэр Вальдес
65%
Антонио Рейносо
32%
Тиффани Кабан
1%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес
1%
Сэнди Нёрс
1%
Джули Вон
1%
Кристен Гонсалес
<1%
Джулия Салазар
<1%
Линкольн Рестлер
<1%
Клэр Вальдес 65%
Антонио Рейносо 32%
Тиффани Кабан 1.4%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес 1.3%
$76,432 Объем
$76,432 Объем
Клэр Вальдес
65%
Антонио Рейносо
32%
Тиффани Кабан
1%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес
1%
Сэнди Нёрс
1%
Джули Вон
1%
Кристен Гонсалес
<1%
Джулия Салазар
<1%
Линкольн Рестлер
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, driven by her Democratic Socialists of America backing, union support from UAW, and endorsement from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, aligning with the district's progressive Brooklyn-Queens base including Sunnyside and Bushwick. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 32%, bolstered by recent endorsements from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, AG Letitia James (March 3), Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), and Working Families Party (late February), plus superior early fundraising with over $300,000 cash on hand as of December 2025. Without public polls, odds reflect grassroots momentum versus establishment appeal in this open June 23 contest, ahead of the April 6 filing deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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