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Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)

Market icon

Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)

Снижение–Снижение–Пауза 100.0%

Снижение–пауза–пауза <1%

Пауза–Снижение ставки–Пауза <1%

Другое <1%

Polymarket

$1,062,929 Объем

Снижение–Снижение–Пауза 100.0%

Снижение–пауза–пауза <1%

Пауза–Снижение ставки–Пауза <1%

Другое <1%

Polymarket

$1,062,929 Объем

Снижение–Снижение–Пауза

$333,494 Объем

Да

Снижение–пауза–пауза

$69,258 Объем

Нет

Пауза–Снижение ставки–Пауза

$151,418 Объем

Нет

Другое

$125,243 Объем

Нет

Снижение–Снижение–Снижение

$307,069 Объем

Нет

Снижение–Пауза–Снижение

$44,099 Объем

Нет

Пауза–Снижение–Снижение

$32,349 Объем

Нет

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 28–29, 2025; December 9–10, 2025; and January 27–28, 2026.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

If no statement is released for the January 2026 meeting by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$1,062,929
Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Sep 30, 2025, 7:27 PM ET
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 28–29, 2025; December 9–10, 2025; and January 27–28, 2026. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm If no statement is released for the January 2026 meeting by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Снижение–Снижение–Пауза" at 100%, followed by "Снижение–пауза–пауза" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)" is "Снижение–Снижение–Пауза" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Снижение–пауза–пауза" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Решения ФРС (октябрь-янв)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.