Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of a unified hold on the federal funds rate target range amid steady economic data. The April 28-29 meeting produced four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by one member favoring a 25 basis point cut and three opposing an easing bias in the statement language. Recent Fed communications and incoming inflation and labor market indicators appear to have narrowed divisions, supporting consensus on maintaining the 3.50%-3.75% range without contentious phrasing. Market-implied odds price limited scope for renewed splits, though the June dot plot release and any post-meeting statement adjustments remain key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 72%
2 11%
1 11%
3 3.8%
$28,725 Объем
$28,725 Объем
0
72%
1
11%
2
11%
3
4%
4+
1%
0 72%
2 11%
1 11%
3 3.8%
$28,725 Объем
$28,725 Объем
0
72%
1
11%
2
11%
3
4%
4+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of a unified hold on the federal funds rate target range amid steady economic data. The April 28-29 meeting produced four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by one member favoring a 25 basis point cut and three opposing an easing bias in the statement language. Recent Fed communications and incoming inflation and labor market indicators appear to have narrowed divisions, supporting consensus on maintaining the 3.50%-3.75% range without contentious phrasing. Market-implied odds price limited scope for renewed splits, though the June dot plot release and any post-meeting statement adjustments remain key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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