Trader consensus favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election under proportional representation, where the leader commanding majority support is elected. Recent Ipsos (March 10-22) and Demoskop (March 10-24) polls show Social Democrats leading parties at 31-33%, though the right Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, Centre) plus Sweden Democrats holds a narrow 51-52% to 45-48% edge in voting intentions and seat projections. The March 13 Liberals-Sweden Democrats pact bolsters right-wing cohesion for Ulf Kristersson (33%), but close margins and six months of campaigning leave room for shifts in key voter blocs amid coalition negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующий премьер-министр Швеции
Следующий премьер-министр Швеции
Магдалена Андерссон 59%
Ульф Кристерссон 33%
Джимми Окесон 5.5%
Эбба Буш 2.0%
$1,672,034 Объем
$1,672,034 Объем

Магдалена Андерссон
59%

Ульф Кристерссон
33%

Джимми Окесон
6%

Эбба Буш
2%

Аманда Линд
<1%

Ноши Дадгостар
<1%

Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%

Симона Мохамссон
<1%

Даниэль Хелльден
<1%

Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
Магдалена Андерссон 59%
Ульф Кристерссон 33%
Джимми Окесон 5.5%
Эбба Буш 2.0%
$1,672,034 Объем
$1,672,034 Объем

Магдалена Андерссон
59%

Ульф Кристерссон
33%

Джимми Окесон
6%

Эбба Буш
2%

Аманда Линд
<1%

Ноши Дадгостар
<1%

Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%

Симона Мохамссон
<1%

Даниэль Хелльден
<1%

Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election under proportional representation, where the leader commanding majority support is elected. Recent Ipsos (March 10-22) and Demoskop (March 10-24) polls show Social Democrats leading parties at 31-33%, though the right Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, Centre) plus Sweden Democrats holds a narrow 51-52% to 45-48% edge in voting intentions and seat projections. The March 13 Liberals-Sweden Democrats pact bolsters right-wing cohesion for Ulf Kristersson (33%), but close margins and six months of campaigning leave room for shifts in key voter blocs amid coalition negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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