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Next Government of Australia

Market icon

Next Government of Australia

Labor majority 100.0%

Labor minority <1%

Liberal–National majority <1%

Liberal–National minority <1%

Polymarket

$3,362,978 Объем

Labor majority 100.0%

Labor minority <1%

Liberal–National majority <1%

Liberal–National minority <1%

Polymarket

$3,362,978 Объем

Market icon

Labor majority

$1,633,443 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Labor minority

$683,791 Объем

No

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Liberal–National majority

$548,073 Объем

No

Market icon

Liberal–National minority

$442,236 Объем

No

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Other

$55,434 Объем

No

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to the first governing party that forms the Australian Government after the next federal election and is able to command confidence in the House of Representatives. The government will be considered formed once the Prime Minister is formally appointed by the Governor-General under non-caretaker circumstances and ministers are sworn in. If no government is formed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if a new federal election is officially called before that date without a government having been formed under the criteria above, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Australian government. Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve to the first governing party that forms the Australian Government after the next federal election and is able to command confidence in the House of Representatives.

The government will be considered formed once the Prime Minister is formally appointed by the Governor-General under non-caretaker circumstances and ministers are sworn in.

If no government is formed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if a new federal election is officially called before that date without a government having been formed under the criteria above, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Australian government.

Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Объем
$3,362,978
Дата окончания
3 мая 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2025, 6:13 PM ET
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to the first governing party that forms the Australian Government after the next federal election and is able to command confidence in the House of Representatives. The government will be considered formed once the Prime Minister is formally appointed by the Governor-General under non-caretaker circumstances and ministers are sworn in. If no government is formed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if a new federal election is officially called before that date without a government having been formed under the criteria above, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Australian government. Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to the first governing party that forms the Australian Government after the next federal election and is able to command confidence in the House of Representatives. The government will be considered formed once the Prime Minister is formally appointed by the Governor-General under non-caretaker circumstances and ministers are sworn in. If no government is formed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if a new federal election is officially called before that date without a government having been formed under the criteria above, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Australian government. Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve to the first governing party that forms the Australian Government after the next federal election and is able to command confidence in the House of Representatives.

The government will be considered formed once the Prime Minister is formally appointed by the Governor-General under non-caretaker circumstances and ministers are sworn in.

If no government is formed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if a new federal election is officially called before that date without a government having been formed under the criteria above, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Australian government.

Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Объем
$3,362,978
Дата окончания
3 мая 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2025, 6:13 PM ET
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to the first governing party that forms the Australian Government after the next federal election and is able to command confidence in the House of Representatives. The government will be considered formed once the Prime Minister is formally appointed by the Governor-General under non-caretaker circumstances and ministers are sworn in. If no government is formed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if a new federal election is officially called before that date without a government having been formed under the criteria above, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Australian government. Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Government of Australia » — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Labor majority» с 100%, за ним следует «Labor minority» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Government of Australia » сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.4 million с момента запуска рынка Apr 29, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Government of Australia », просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Government of Australia » — «Labor majority» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Labor minority» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Government of Australia » точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.