Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующие президентские выборы во Франции
Следующие президентские выборы во Франции
Эдуард Филипп 24%
Джордан Барделла 24%
Жан-Люк Меленшон 9%
Марин Ле Пен 8%
$23,304,251 Объем
$23,304,251 Объем
Apr 30, 2027
Эдуард Филипп
24%
Джордан Барделла
24%
Жан-Люк Меленшон
9%
Марин Ле Пен
8%
Доминик де Вильпен
6%
Рафаэль Глюкскман
4%
Франсуа Олланд
4%
Бруно Ретайльо
4%
Сара Кнафо
3%
Габриэль Аттал
3%
Давид Лиснар
3%
Себастьян Лекорню
2%
Жан Кастекс
1%
Жеральд Дарманин
1%
Эрик Земур
1%
Хуан Бранко
1%
Франсуа Руффин
1%
Бернар Казнев
1%
Марин Тонделье
<1%
Николя Дюпон-Аньан
<1%
Лоран Вокье
<1%
Фабиен Руссель
<1%
Франсуа Асселено
<1%
Валери Пекресс
<1%
Элизабет Борн
<1%
Мануэль Бомпар
<1%
Ксавьер Бертран
<1%
Оливье Форе
<1%
Сеголен Рояль
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Мишель Барнье
<1%
Франсуа Байру
<1%
Яэль Браун-Пиве
<1%
Клеманс Гетте
<1%
Кароль Делга
<1%
Матильда Панот
<1%
Эдуард Филипп 24%
Джордан Барделла 24%
Жан-Люк Меленшон 9%
Марин Ле Пен 8%
$23,304,251 Объем
$23,304,251 Объем
Apr 30, 2027
Эдуард Филипп
$373,290 Объем
24%
Джордан Барделла
$593,885 Объем
24%
Жан-Люк Меленшон
$211,560 Объем
9%
Марин Ле Пен
$280,441 Объем
8%
Доминик де Вильпен
$784,947 Объем
6%
Рафаэль Глюкскман
$438,294 Объем
4%
Франсуа Олланд
$532,803 Объем
4%
Бруно Ретайльо
$873,008 Объем
4%
Сара Кнафо
$934,703 Объем
3%
Габриэль Аттал
$818,895 Объем
3%
Давид Лиснар
$644,548 Объем
3%
Себастьян Лекорню
$573,344 Объем
2%
Жан Кастекс
$439,617 Объем
1%
Жеральд Дарманин
$301,993 Объем
1%
Эрик Земур
$327,593 Объем
1%
Хуан Бранко
$246,779 Объем
1%
Франсуа Руффин
$276,789 Объем
1%
Бернар Казнев
$280,002 Объем
1%
Марин Тонделье
$332,453 Объем
<1%
Николя Дюпон-Аньан
$1,105,427 Объем
<1%
Лоран Вокье
$281,082 Объем
<1%
Фабиен Руссель
$811,724 Объем
<1%
Франсуа Асселено
$1,073,811 Объем
<1%
Валери Пекресс
$921,393 Объем
<1%
Элизабет Борн
$934,807 Объем
<1%
Мануэль Бомпар
$684,980 Объем
<1%
Ксавьер Бертран
$419,145 Объем
<1%
Оливье Форе
$640,300 Объем
<1%
Сеголен Рояль
$821,544 Объем
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$1,255,715 Объем
<1%
Мишель Барнье
$742,514 Объем
<1%
Франсуа Байру
$907,447 Объем
<1%
Яэль Браун-Пиве
$746,743 Объем
<1%
Клеманс Гетте
$1,019,465 Объем
<1%
Кароль Делга
$676,780 Объем
<1%
Матильда Панот
$999,930 Объем
<1%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$23,304,251Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2027Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$23,304,251Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2027Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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