Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District with 79% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, reinforcing her strong hold in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+24 partisan lean under new maps drawn last fall. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary (under 10,000 votes) against a little-known challenger, amid minimal fundraising and unconventional positions like ending the Federal Reserve. Historical blowouts—Adams's 74%-26% 2024 win—bolster trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats, though a GOP national wave, Adams scandal, or Codiga fundraising surge could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NC-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NC-12
$13,904 Объем
$13,904 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
7%
$13,904 Объем
$13,904 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$6,622 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$7,281 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District with 79% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, reinforcing her strong hold in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+24 partisan lean under new maps drawn last fall. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary (under 10,000 votes) against a little-known challenger, amid minimal fundraising and unconventional positions like ending the Federal Reserve. Historical blowouts—Adams's 74%-26% 2024 win—bolster trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats, though a GOP national wave, Adams scandal, or Codiga fundraising surge could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$13,904Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District with 79% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, reinforcing her strong hold in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+24 partisan lean under new maps drawn last fall. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary (under 10,000 votes) against a little-known challenger, amid minimal fundraising and unconventional positions like ending the Federal Reserve. Historical blowouts—Adams's 74%-26% 2024 win—bolster trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats, though a GOP national wave, Adams scandal, or Codiga fundraising surge could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,904Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District with 79% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, reinforcing her strong hold in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+24 partisan lean under new maps drawn last fall. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced from a low-turnout primary (under 10,000 votes) against a little-known challenger, amid minimal fundraising and unconventional positions like ending the Federal Reserve. Historical blowouts—Adams's 74%-26% 2024 win—bolster trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats, though a GOP national wave, Adams scandal, or Codiga fundraising surge could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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