Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus at 89% for a Democratic winner reflecting consistent polling leads for leading primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson and PPP surveys through late February show both Democrats ahead by 2–7 points against GOP prospects like Michele Tafoya in this DFL-leaning state, where Biden won by 7 points in 2020. GOP disarray intensified last week as former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze dominated straw polls in key counties, outpacing Tafoya and threatening her endorsement path ahead of the August 11 primary, bolstering Democrats' position absent a unified Republican challenge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
Победитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
$15,255 Объем
$15,255 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
90%
Республиканцы
11%
$15,255 Объем
$15,255 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
$11,272 Объем
90%
Республиканцы
$3,983 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus at 89% for a Democratic winner reflecting consistent polling leads for leading primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson and PPP surveys through late February show both Democrats ahead by 2–7 points against GOP prospects like Michele Tafoya in this DFL-leaning state, where Biden won by 7 points in 2020. GOP disarray intensified last week as former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze dominated straw polls in key counties, outpacing Tafoya and threatening her endorsement path ahead of the August 11 primary, bolstering Democrats' position absent a unified Republican challenge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$15,255Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus at 89% for a Democratic winner reflecting consistent polling leads for leading primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson and PPP surveys through late February show both Democrats ahead by 2–7 points against GOP prospects like Michele Tafoya in this DFL-leaning state, where Biden won by 7 points in 2020. GOP disarray intensified last week as former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze dominated straw polls in key counties, outpacing Tafoya and threatening her endorsement path ahead of the August 11 primary, bolstering Democrats' position absent a unified Republican challenge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$15,255Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus at 89% for a Democratic winner reflecting consistent polling leads for leading primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson and PPP surveys through late February show both Democrats ahead by 2–7 points against GOP prospects like Michele Tafoya in this DFL-leaning state, where Biden won by 7 points in 2020. GOP disarray intensified last week as former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze dominated straw polls in key counties, outpacing Tafoya and threatening her endorsement path ahead of the August 11 primary, bolstering Democrats' position absent a unified Republican challenge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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