Following Sen. Gary Peters' 2025 retirement announcement, Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary has emerged as a three-way contest among state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, physician Abdul El-Sayed, and U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens, with the August 4 primary approaching. Trader consensus favors McMorrow at 50.5% implied probability, driven by a March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showing her at 30% to El-Sayed's 25% and Stevens' 23% among likely voters, alongside endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, and others. Fresh backlash erupted this week over El-Sayed's rally with leftist influencer Hasan Piker, criticized by McMorrow for alienating moderates, while Stevens trails amid fading support despite Congressional Black Caucus backing. Undecided voters at 21-38% underscore the race's volatility ahead of further polling and debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии Мичигана
Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии Мичигана
Мэллори МакМорроу 51%
Абдул Эль-Сайед 35%
Хейли Стивенс 12%
Сара Энтони <1%
$231,791 Объем
$231,791 Объем
Мэллори МакМорроу
51%
Абдул Эль-Сайед
35%
Хейли Стивенс
12%
Сара Энтони
<1%
Кристен Макдональд Ривет
<1%
Мэтт Сар
<1%
Дана Нессел
<1%
Рашида Тлаиб
<1%
Энди Левин
<1%
Мэллори МакМорроу 51%
Абдул Эль-Сайед 35%
Хейли Стивенс 12%
Сара Энтони <1%
$231,791 Объем
$231,791 Объем
Мэллори МакМорроу
51%
Абдул Эль-Сайед
35%
Хейли Стивенс
12%
Сара Энтони
<1%
Кристен Макдональд Ривет
<1%
Мэтт Сар
<1%
Дана Нессел
<1%
Рашида Тлаиб
<1%
Энди Левин
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Sen. Gary Peters' 2025 retirement announcement, Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary has emerged as a three-way contest among state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, physician Abdul El-Sayed, and U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens, with the August 4 primary approaching. Trader consensus favors McMorrow at 50.5% implied probability, driven by a March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showing her at 30% to El-Sayed's 25% and Stevens' 23% among likely voters, alongside endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, and others. Fresh backlash erupted this week over El-Sayed's rally with leftist influencer Hasan Piker, criticized by McMorrow for alienating moderates, while Stevens trails amid fading support despite Congressional Black Caucus backing. Undecided voters at 21-38% underscore the race's volatility ahead of further polling and debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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