Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's strong incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over generic Republicans—such as 50% to 28% in recent Gonzales Research and 45% to 37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Despite a slight dip in approval ratings to around 52% in January polls amid budget challenges, roughly half of voters support his re-election bid, filed officially in late February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller. The fragmented Republican primary field, with nine candidates including Dan Cox and John Myrick facing off June 23, limits GOP consolidation. While a major scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could challenge this, Maryland's deep-blue history and Moore's likely primary dominance present steep barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Мэриленда
Победитель выборов губернатора Мэриленда
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
94%
Республиканец
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$0 Объем
94%
Республиканец
$8,494 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's strong incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over generic Republicans—such as 50% to 28% in recent Gonzales Research and 45% to 37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Despite a slight dip in approval ratings to around 52% in January polls amid budget challenges, roughly half of voters support his re-election bid, filed officially in late February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller. The fragmented Republican primary field, with nine candidates including Dan Cox and John Myrick facing off June 23, limits GOP consolidation. While a major scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could challenge this, Maryland's deep-blue history and Moore's likely primary dominance present steep barriers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Объем
$8,494Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's strong incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over generic Republicans—such as 50% to 28% in recent Gonzales Research and 45% to 37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Despite a slight dip in approval ratings to around 52% in January polls amid budget challenges, roughly half of voters support his re-election bid, filed officially in late February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller. The fragmented Republican primary field, with nine candidates including Dan Cox and John Myrick facing off June 23, limits GOP consolidation. While a major scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could challenge this, Maryland's deep-blue history and Moore's likely primary dominance present steep barriers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$8,494Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's strong incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over generic Republicans—such as 50% to 28% in recent Gonzales Research and 45% to 37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Despite a slight dip in approval ratings to around 52% in January polls amid budget challenges, roughly half of voters support his re-election bid, filed officially in late February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller. The fragmented Republican primary field, with nine candidates including Dan Cox and John Myrick facing off June 23, limits GOP consolidation. While a major scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could challenge this, Maryland's deep-blue history and Moore's likely primary dominance present steep barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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