Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 51.5% implied probability to win Maryland's June 23 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strongest name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee and loyal conservative base in a fractured, low-visibility field lacking polls or major fundraising disclosures. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 32.9% following his February lieutenant governor pick announcement, but faces skepticism over his recent Democratic-to-Republican switch and quiet campaign efforts. Both frontrunners skipped the first primary debate on March 26, allowing underdogs like John Myrick to highlight absences and criticize electability amid affordability and safety discussions. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January declination keeps his odds minimal at 1.7%, emphasizing the open primary dynamics with 12 weeks until voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДэн Кокс 52%
Эд Хейл 32.8%
Кристофер Буша 5%
Стив Херши 4.5%
$472,297 Объем
$472,297 Объем
Дэн Кокс
52%
Эд Хейл
33%
Кристофер Буша
5%
Стив Херши
5%
Курт Ведекинд
3%
Карл Бруннер
3%
Джон Мирик
3%
Ларри Хоган
2%
Дэн Кокс 52%
Эд Хейл 32.8%
Кристофер Буша 5%
Стив Херши 4.5%
$472,297 Объем
$472,297 Объем
Дэн Кокс
52%
Эд Хейл
33%
Кристофер Буша
5%
Стив Херши
5%
Курт Ведекинд
3%
Карл Бруннер
3%
Джон Мирик
3%
Ларри Хоган
2%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 51.5% implied probability to win Maryland's June 23 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strongest name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee and loyal conservative base in a fractured, low-visibility field lacking polls or major fundraising disclosures. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 32.9% following his February lieutenant governor pick announcement, but faces skepticism over his recent Democratic-to-Republican switch and quiet campaign efforts. Both frontrunners skipped the first primary debate on March 26, allowing underdogs like John Myrick to highlight absences and criticize electability amid affordability and safety discussions. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January declination keeps his odds minimal at 1.7%, emphasizing the open primary dynamics with 12 weeks until voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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