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Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?

Market icon

Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?

<16% 100.0%

16%-18% <1%

18%-20% <1%

20%-22% <1%

Polymarket

$122,091 Объем

<16% 100.0%

16%-18% <1%

18%-20% <1%

20%-22% <1%

Polymarket

$122,091 Объем

<16%

$38,199 Объем

Да

16%-18%

$12,995 Объем

Нет

18%-20%

$19,636 Объем

Нет

20%-22%

$5,921 Объем

Нет

22%-24%

$9,279 Объем

Нет

24%-26%

$6,259 Объем

Нет

>26%

$29,803 Объем

Нет

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Объем
$122,091
Дата окончания
18 янв. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 31, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Объем
$122,091
Дата окончания
18 янв. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 31, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the vote share Luís Marques Mendes wins in the first round of the Portuguese presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Luís Marques Mendes. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<16%» с 100%, за ним следует «16%-18%» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $122.1K с момента запуска рынка Dec 31, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?» — «<16%» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «16%-18%» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Доля голосов Луиша Маркеша Мендеша в первом туре президентских выборов Португалии?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.