A fresh Emerson College/FOX56 poll released April 2 underscores Rep. Andy Barr's frontrunner status in the Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary, with 28% support among likely voters—up four points from February—bolstering trader consensus at 56.5% implied probability amid 29% undecideds ahead of the May 19 contest. Former Attorney General Daniel Cameron holds steady at 21% per the survey, aligning with his 18.6% market share, hampered by prior fundraising shortfalls, while self-funded outsider Nate Morris edges to 15% (12.7% on Polymarket) on endorsements from figures like Charlie Kirk but trails after a mid-March debate exposing rifts over immigration and McConnell ties. Barr benefits from incumbency in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, Trump rally praise, and consolidating establishment backing in the open seat race post-McConnell retirement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЭнди Барр 60%
Дэниел Кэмерон 18.6%
Нейт Моррис 10.0%
Эндрю Шелли 1.3%
$98,509 Объем
$98,509 Объем
Энди Барр
60%
Дэниел Кэмерон
19%
Нейт Моррис
10%
Эндрю Шелли
1%
Венде Кеннеди
<1%
Майк Фэрис
<1%
Энди Барр 60%
Дэниел Кэмерон 18.6%
Нейт Моррис 10.0%
Эндрю Шелли 1.3%
$98,509 Объем
$98,509 Объем
Энди Барр
60%
Дэниел Кэмерон
19%
Нейт Моррис
10%
Эндрю Шелли
1%
Венде Кеннеди
<1%
Майк Фэрис
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A fresh Emerson College/FOX56 poll released April 2 underscores Rep. Andy Barr's frontrunner status in the Kentucky Republican U.S. Senate primary, with 28% support among likely voters—up four points from February—bolstering trader consensus at 56.5% implied probability amid 29% undecideds ahead of the May 19 contest. Former Attorney General Daniel Cameron holds steady at 21% per the survey, aligning with his 18.6% market share, hampered by prior fundraising shortfalls, while self-funded outsider Nate Morris edges to 15% (12.7% on Polymarket) on endorsements from figures like Charlie Kirk but trails after a mid-March debate exposing rifts over immigration and McConnell ties. Barr benefits from incumbency in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, Trump rally praise, and consolidating establishment backing in the open seat race post-McConnell retirement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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