Market icon

JD Vance positive favorability before the election?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$71,919 Объем

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if J.D. Vances's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating for any day between Oct 2 (inclusive) and November 4, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Vance's favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.

The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/jd-vance/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line and the orange "unfavorable" the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after November 4, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$71,919
Дата окончания
Nov 5, 2024
Дата создания
Oct 2, 2024, 11:36 AM ET
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if J.D. Vances's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating for any day between Oct 2 (inclusive) and November 4, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vance's favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify. The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/jd-vance/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line and the orange "unfavorable" the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after November 4, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" has generated $71.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

JD Vance positive favorability before the election?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$71,919 Объем

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if J.D. Vances's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating for any day between Oct 2 (inclusive) and November 4, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Vance's favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.

The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/jd-vance/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line and the orange "unfavorable" the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after November 4, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$71,919
Дата окончания
Nov 5, 2024
Дата создания
Oct 2, 2024, 11:36 AM ET
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if J.D. Vances's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating for any day between Oct 2 (inclusive) and November 4, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vance's favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify. The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/jd-vance/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line and the orange "unfavorable" the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after November 4, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" has generated $71.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance positive favorability before the election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.