Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

No

$107k Объем

15

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

No

$79.6k Объем

62

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

No

$10.8k Объем

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$1m Объем

32

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

No

$282k Объем

51

Trump positive favorability on Day 100?

Trump positive favorability on Day 100?

No

$328k Объем

95

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Kamala

$5m Объем

402

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

No

$151k Объем

2

Who will 538 predict to win the election?

Who will 538 predict to win the election?

Harris

$475k Объем

13

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

Trump

$177k Объем

27

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Kamala

$176k Объем

17

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Trump

$92.3k Объем

6

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Nov 4?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Nov 4?

Trump by 0.1-0.4

$449k Объем

81

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

No

$70.6k Объем

10

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

No

$207k Объем

7

Who will win young men?

Who will win young men?

Trump

$207k Объем

59

Donald Trump Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?

Donald Trump Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?

No

$27.8k Объем

Closest state in the Presidential election?

Closest state in the Presidential election?

Wisconsin

$94m Объем

53

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 2-2.4

$4m Объем

26

Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

No

$273k Объем

18

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Опрос.

Polymarket currently hosts 62 active markets for Опрос that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $107.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Who will 538 predict to win the election?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Closest state in the Presidential election?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Closest state in the Presidential election?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Wisconsin. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Опрос predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.