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Выборы·Босния и Герцеговина

Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?

icon for Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?
Выборы·Босния и Герцеговина

Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?

Бакир Изетбегович 52%

Denis Bećirović 49%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$21,451 Объем

Бакир Изетбегович 52%

Denis Bećirović 49%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$21,451 Объем

icon for Бакир Изетбегович

Бакир Изетбегович

$7,089 Объем

52%

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$9,273 Объем

49%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$5,089 Объем

<1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader consensus between Bakir Izetbegović (51.5%) and incumbent Denis Bećirović (48.5%) for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency reflects a classic rematch ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election. Izetbegović, SDA leader and former Presidency member (2010–2018), secured his party’s nomination in May 2026, restoring momentum to the long-dominant conservative Bosniak bloc after its 2022 defeat. Bećirović, the SDP representative serving since 2022 and currently chairing the Presidency, benefits from his governing record and backing within the pro-reform “Troika” coalition in the Federation. The narrow spread captures voter divisions between SDA’s established organizational reach and SDP’s appeal on reform and EU alignment, with limited movement expected until formal campaigns intensify and polling clarifies turnout patterns among Bosniak voters.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$21,451
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader consensus between Bakir Izetbegović (51.5%) and incumbent Denis Bećirović (48.5%) for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency reflects a classic rematch ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election. Izetbegović, SDA leader and former Presidency member (2010–2018), secured his party’s nomination in May 2026, restoring momentum to the long-dominant conservative Bosniak bloc after its 2022 defeat. Bećirović, the SDP representative serving since 2022 and currently chairing the Presidency, benefits from his governing record and backing within the pro-reform “Troika” coalition in the Federation. The narrow spread captures voter divisions between SDA’s established organizational reach and SDP’s appeal on reform and EU alignment, with limited movement expected until formal campaigns intensify and polling clarifies turnout patterns among Bosniak voters.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$21,451
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Бакир Изетбегович» с 52%, за ним следует «Denis Bećirović» с 49%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.5K с момента запуска рынка May 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?» — «Бакир Изетбегович» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Denis Bećirović» с 49%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий боснийский президент Боснии и Герцеговины?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.