Market icon

Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?

Market icon

Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$198,429 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$198,429 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries.

If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$198,429
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2024
Открытие рынка
Oct 18, 2024, 7:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries.

If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$198,429
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2024
Открытие рынка
Oct 18, 2024, 7:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 0% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 0¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $198.4K с момента запуска рынка Oct 18, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?» составляет 0% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.