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icon for Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

icon for Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

Фернандо Диас да Коста 59.1%

Сига Батиста 4.2%

Жоао де Деус Мендеш 3.7%

Умаро Сиссоко Эмбало 3.6%

Polymarket

$322,040 Объем

Фернандо Диас да Коста 59.1%

Сига Батиста 4.2%

Жоао де Деус Мендеш 3.7%

Умаро Сиссоко Эмбало 3.6%

Polymarket

$322,040 Объем

Фернандо Диас да Коста

$53,192 Объем

38%

Сига Батиста

$22,314 Объем

10%

Жоао де Деус Мендеш

$16,417 Объем

4%

Умаро Сиссоко Эмбало

$88,311 Объем

4%

Мамаду Iaia Djaló

$19,091 Объем

3%

Эркулано Армандо Бекуинса

$16,005 Объем

3%

Жозе Мариу Ваз

$21,861 Объем

3%

Габриэль Фернандо Инди

$19,124 Объем

3%

Жоао Бернардо Вейра

$15,214 Объем

3%

Марио да Сильва Жуниор

$18,165 Объем

2%

Хонорио Августо Лопеш

$18,027 Объем

2%

Baciro Djá

$14,318 Объем

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in the rescheduled Guinea-Bissau presidential election due to his status as the main opposition challenger in the November 2025 vote, where he secured backing from the barred PAIGC party and its allies after both he and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló claimed victory amid disputed results. A military coup days later annulled the process, installed a transitional junta, and prompted a new election date of December 6, 2026, under a charter that bars the junta leader from running. Dias's positioning reflects ongoing opposition networks and regional diplomatic pressure for an inclusive transition, while the dispersed field below 10% underscores fragmented coalitions and uncertainty over candidate consolidations or voter priorities around stability ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$322,040
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in the rescheduled Guinea-Bissau presidential election due to his status as the main opposition challenger in the November 2025 vote, where he secured backing from the barred PAIGC party and its allies after both he and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló claimed victory amid disputed results. A military coup days later annulled the process, installed a transitional junta, and prompted a new election date of December 6, 2026, under a charter that bars the junta leader from running. Dias's positioning reflects ongoing opposition networks and regional diplomatic pressure for an inclusive transition, while the dispersed field below 10% underscores fragmented coalitions and uncertainty over candidate consolidations or voter priorities around stability ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$322,040
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Фернандо Диас да Коста» с 38%, за ним следует «Сига Батиста» с 10%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $322K с момента запуска рынка Nov 6, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» — «Фернандо Диас да Коста» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Сига Батиста» с 10%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.