Market icon

Fed rate cut by...?

Market icon

Fed rate cut by...?

$1,573,277 Объем

30 июл. 2025 г.
Polymarket

$1,573,277 Объем

Polymarket

July meeting

$59,119 Объем

No

September meeting

$927,036 Объем

Yes

October meeting

$240,855 Объем

Yes

December meeting

$346,266 Объем

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2025, currently scheduled for September 16–17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by September 24 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by November 5 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2025, currently scheduled for December 9–10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by December 17 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,573,277
Дата окончания
10 дек. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2025, currently scheduled for September 16–17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by September 24 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by November 5 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2025, currently scheduled for December 9–10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by December 17 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,573,277
Дата окончания
10 дек. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2025, currently scheduled for July 29 - 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Fed rate cut by...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «September meeting» с 100%, за ним следует «October meeting» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Fed rate cut by...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.6 million с момента запуска рынка Jul 15, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Fed rate cut by...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Fed rate cut by...?» — «September meeting» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «October meeting» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Fed rate cut by...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.