Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled progress after the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early January 2026, which targeted a Q1 debut but yielded no public prospectus, roadshow, or pricing amid profitability challenges and tepid tech IPO sentiment. Among IPO outcomes, <15B market cap leads at 9.2%, signaling skepticism on valuation upside despite robust fundamentals like 250 million monthly active users, $800 million annual recurring revenue, and 20% year-over-year growth highlighted in recent secondary market promotions. Key hurdles include regulatory review delays and competitive pressures in social-communications; watch for S-1 publication or funding updates as potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO Discord
Капитализация закрытия IPO Discord
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 84%
<15 млрд 9.9%
15–20 млрд 1.8%
30 млрд+ 1.8%
$815,492 Объем
$815,492 Объем
<15 млрд
10%
15–20 млрд
2%
20–25 млрд
1%
25–30 млрд
1%
30 млрд+
2%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
84%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 84%
<15 млрд 9.9%
15–20 млрд 1.8%
30 млрд+ 1.8%
$815,492 Объем
$815,492 Объем
<15 млрд
10%
15–20 млрд
2%
20–25 млрд
1%
25–30 млрд
1%
30 млрд+
2%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
84%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled progress after the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early January 2026, which targeted a Q1 debut but yielded no public prospectus, roadshow, or pricing amid profitability challenges and tepid tech IPO sentiment. Among IPO outcomes, <15B market cap leads at 9.2%, signaling skepticism on valuation upside despite robust fundamentals like 250 million monthly active users, $800 million annual recurring revenue, and 20% year-over-year growth highlighted in recent secondary market promotions. Key hurdles include regulatory review delays and competitive pressures in social-communications; watch for S-1 publication or funding updates as potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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